Current and future prophetic visions of 21st century Daniel, Y2K, economic analysis, and World War Three

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Chapter 1: Post-Y2K analysis; why the computer threat turned out to be a non-event. A success in prophetic warning.

In the preparatory stage, before being awakened as Daniel, the author had spent a few thousand hours thinking, studying and writing about the potential disaster resulting from the computer bug called Y2K, and how it threatened the economy and other infrastructure issues. This was the case for 18 solid months on the newfound medium called the Internet. I was doing so without the expectation I was soon to become an angel and the return of Daniel. This awakening occurred a little more than two months prior to the Y2K rollover, and was Daniel's first unconscious mission. This Section begins with this short history of Y2K coverage prior to Y2K, as includes much economic and strategic analysis which followed, based on divine dreams Daniel has received. The following is an article written a few days after, in January 2000, and explains the reason the situation turned out the way it did. I've decided to leave it relatively untouched, so here it is for the record:

"Confidence comes from not always being right but from not fearing to be wrong" Peter McIntire

"We credit scarcely any person with good sense except those who are of our opinion" la Rouchefoucald

"The art of being wise is knowing what to overlook" William James

"It's a rash man who reaches a conclusion before he gets to it" Jacob Levin

"We owe a debt of thanks to the people who sounded the early alarms on Y2K. Had there been no alarmists, the Y2K disaster would have been huge, because just 24 months ago there was widespread ignorance and denial of the problem." John Koskinen, Y2K Czar (1/2/2000)

It was an absolutely pleasant surprise to arrive on the other side of the millennium not only unscathed, but to experience the utter joy and satisfaction of the worldwide celebrations that seemed to pull all of humanity into a unified sense of collective euphoria! Even the weather was perfect! To witness this once-in-a-lifetime event come to pass in such a positive manner is quite inspirational, to say the least.
Through such collective will to rise to the occasion and demolish the Y2K computer bug, as was the case over the past months and years prior to the rollover, we as a human race demonstrated once again that through working together toward a unified goal, essentially, for the most part, we eradicated a serious, universal, technological threat -- a threat that, had it not been identified and tackled in a timely manner and with full vigor, would surely have meant disaster.
Clearly the alarm bells -- rung loud, hard and persistently by Y2K alarmists and activists -- were definitely heeded by those in authority, business, management, and government. Sufficient action and attention was taken on all sides, around the world, to avert what was a very real threat to our modern, technologically advanced civilization.
It bring the author intense joy -- not disappointment -- that the worst of the dire assessments and expectations about Y2K made on the site and by other prominent Y2K experts since 1997 were wrong in the proverbial end -- defeated and disabled. In fact, the rollover was such a non-event even the ultra-optimists were confounded and surprised; it seems illogical this was the outcome, given the consensus among those "in the know", but I share in their hubris.
The reader may think the author to be licking my wounds, feeling ashamed, stupid and silly ... because Daniel was "wrong"? Absolutely not! ... for reasons shown below. This issue is exactly something I fully expected, and hoped for; some e-mails I received shortly after January 1 (the type one would expect): personal attacks based on misunderstood perceptions. A general response follows. These were received the day of the rollover:

"Glad you were wrong and I know you are too!" Robert

"I'm thinking you've got to feel pretty silly about now ..." Anon

"Well Dan, I suppose that you and the other Y2K doomsday gurus are feeling a little silly right about now, so I won't rub your nose in it too much, but I can't resist just a little. Jan 1 has come and gone, and far from a collapse of the global computer network, riots and mayhem in U.S. cities, and nuclear plant meltdowns, as you and your friends predicted [Author's note: I have never predicted these things. Just raised these possibilities and issued warnings], there has not been even 1, count 'em ONE significant failure! One question, what are you going to do with all those dry goods, generators, and cabins in the wilderness?. Hard things to sell right now, as there is sure to be a market glut of them! HAH HAH!!"

"Totally overreacted and jumped the gun about this issue. Media hype has fooled us all, we are still here and the world HAS NOT ended. I admit that I thought something bad was going to happen, but guess what? WE ARE ALL OK! The world has not ended! [Again, never said it would be the end of the world.] The Y2K hoax was created by capitalist corporations to fool people into buying water, extra food, generators and by extremist Christians who actually wanted something bad to happen, such as the fool Gary North. Next time we should stop being so gullible" ... Natasha

"I'll bet you feel like an absolute idiot today! You sure did waste your time by making this website! It's just another day here in the world! Have a Happy New Year!!!" ... MATTY

Surely it was far less damaging than previously anticipated, and this was cause for relief. As mentioned in a September newsletter, the majority of bugs were to pile up and turn up in strange and wonderful ways well into 2000. I also downplayed the significance of the rollover. [I said in December, 1999] "Will it be enough to significantly and severely disrupt the economy? I no longer believe so; at least not to the degree thought in days gone by. Does this mean the current boom will continue forever and ever? NO!" Before we get too giddy: the general, long-range thesis of the site and book remains certain, intact and trustworthy and has been so since first written, and Y2K was merely one variable of concern -- humanly alterable and with many unknowns. What is this long-range thesis? As mentioned in the September 28, 1999 newsletter (notice this has nothing to do with Y2K):

"...I wish the party could go on forever, but history tells us it must not, and the hangover is upon us. The evidence is overwhelmingly in favor of a catastrophic bust in the months/years ahead. A bust that, like the unprecedented nature of the current boom, will be equally unprecedented in its devastation ..."
"... It may surprise some of you to know that I am substantially more optimistic (on the Y2K portion) than was the case one year ago. Believe it or not, I tend to (partly) agree with Peter De Jager that we (at least in the U.S., Canada, Britain, Australia) have accomplished enough Y2K repairs and are now making contingency plans across the board to avert a total collapse--i.e. The End Of The World As We Know It ..."
"... Many seem to think that merely because I bring up the possibility of a societal/civilizational collapse that I'm also predicting such an event. Well, I'm not! Nor am I predicting a permanent or long-term power-grid shut-down or full-scale nuclear launch on January 1, 2000 ..."
"I AM predicting we will have to experience a (several-year) period of severe economic tribulation that will fundamentally alter the world's economic structure from which a new strategic paradigm will emerge: a full, total global war in the next twenty years that will be fought with maximum effort, nuclear weapons will be used, and the America/China/India/Russian "problem" will be resolved ... but only after a culmination of unforeseeable events climax into World War Three in which either a new global power for the next long cycle is determined, or re-appointed (that is, the U.S.A.) ... "
[I do not wish this to occur, but know it must.]
Also said in the December 6, 1999 update was:
"Furthermore, we need to get away from the concept that whatever Y2K effects that are to happen will happen "on Jan, 1, 2000." Actually, only a small percentage will take place then, and they won't all be of catastrophic nature either. This is not an all-or-nothing, either/or situation. Most of the failures, in terms of volume, will be throughout 2000, showing up in strange and wonderful ways." "Again, January 1, 2000 is NOT going to be the end of the world, and nor has the author ever implied such a scenario ..."
I also said at the time, "It appears that the market will remain adrift until early January 2000 -- save for a final-week panic from Y2K preparation -- when it is guaranteed to begin the long road into the abyss. Bear markets rarely start in this time frame (January) but when they do happen they're of very large consequence, as was the case in 1974." Well, mid-January 2000 was the ultimate peak in the market.
Since the above people seem so intent on pointing out how "wrong" I was about Y2K here comes a rebuttal:
I do have a decent track record of successes in predicting the economy, even prior to Y2K and the angelic awakening, where ALL visions of a short-term fashion have come true by 100% as shown since 1999. Obviously there is no way for you to verify any thing prior to a year and a half or two ago, where everything was written in stone on the Listbot archives, so you will have to take my word for it previous to 1999 (then again you don't) ... but yes. In the late 1980's as a teen-ager, I predicted the long drawn-out recession we experienced in the early 1990's (but I was slightly off in its intensity -- remember, this was a "prediction," not "word from God"). I then "predicted" in early 1995 that the economy would boom with a climbing stock market. Late 1997 was when I changed my tune and became extremely bearish about the long term. Long-time readers since early 1998 will have noticed that I successfully predicted the September/October crash we had in the fall of 1998 and that we would hit Dow 10,000. I correctly called the correction of last September/October 1999 (but off in intensity -- expected a crash). [Then immediately after the awakening as Daniel, everything based on divine visions HAS been coming true -- everything, 100%.]
Predicting good news makes you popular -- especially when it comes true! Predicting bad news is a thankless job; one is criticized and written off while sounding the alarm, then blamed for it and resented when it comes true OR false, as was the case about Y2K.
So then why were we all "wrong about Y2K?" Why was Y2K a virtual non-event? Why was there no pre-Y2K crash?
Continue reading. First and foremost let it be known that the great majority of this site was written in a time period when Y2K was still not being taken seriously, awareness was low and insufficient remediation efforts were almost universal. That is, early 1998 to early 1999. Save for a few updates in the archive section, the site was essentially not modified at all, including the main homepage; the wording and assessments were nearly the same as first written in spring/summer of 1998 and simply added to. My assessment had changed dramatically since then, but I failed to modify the writings to reflect this until after 2000, after the awakening, as the time required to do so was unavailable.
Hard data on true Y2K status and progress was seemingly nonexistent at the time, and therefore in attempting to form an assessment on the magnitude and outcome of Y2K, we had to assume the worst -- not the best. Or, in other words, organizations and entities in question were guilty until proven innocent. We had to use whatever information and evidence came our way and err on the side of caution. This was done not as "prophecy" but for valid risk assessment as Y2K was a humanly alterable event.
The Macro-economic Thesis on the site, first written in April 1998, remains fundamentally sound, logical in its methodology and the conclusions reached therein would surely have come to pass ... had Y2K come in 1998. However, the variables and inputs to the grand equation had since changed dramatically.
The first portion significantly altered over time was the greatly increased efforts, attention and resources made over the two years prior to 2000. Y2K budgets rose substantially in the right places reflecting increased concern in corporate and government agencies. The $500 billion thus far spent worldwide was not misspent or wasted on a "hoax." Corporations do not naively, frantically spend hundreds of millions of dollars each of precious money with great urgency on a trivial, non-threatening problem. There was a good reason why governments around the world built $60 million command centers (bunkers) and mobilized for martial law. "Martial law?" Yes, don't you remember? Here is a quote from a Canadian newspaper,
"Prime Minister Jean Chretien's government will be on full Y2K alert New Year's Eve and ready to invoke an updated War Measures Act if needed, sources have told the Sun."
"The Emergencies Act, which was passed in 1988, gives cabinet sweeping powers to issue whatever orders or regulations it believes are necessary to deal with emergencies such as major power outages caused by computer glitches or civil insurrections, major riots and prison revolts."
And the title of this report from World Net Daily entitled: "Clinton set to declare national emergency. More than 50 simultaneous Y2K crises expected, stretching resources to limit." That says it all.
"... It was not a hoax, and tens of thousands have given everything to fix the problem, many sacrificing their careers, to remediate the antiques, instead of mastering the new technologies. All the thousands of Y2K websites will disappear, and the public will forget those who worked into the night, warning and cajoling businesses and governments to get off their asses and do something...." Alan Simpson
The second factor I erred in not modifying was the relative importance or triviality of the millennium bug in respect to compliance or non-compliance. Surely the work completed thus far has been successful in the vast majority of mission-critical systems. Moreover, a non-compliant apparatus or system was not nearly as serious as previously thought. In fact, most glitches are benign, as many computers and chips will function as normal in non-compliant state; it is the systems that operate heavily with date calculations that require near 100% compliancy in software such as government payroll systems (eg.: Social Security Administration), banking and financial institutions. They correctly perceived it as a threat to survival, thence took the proper steps and were generally successful.
The third variable was the severity of faulty embedded systems (chips). We never really knew the real percentage at risk or how they would react systemically to the rollover period, and opinions and estimates varied widely. In making this assessment I had to again err on the side of caution and presume failures would be significant and /or widespread and assume the worst. It came to pass, obviously, being that power and telecommunications--even water and gas--were scarcely disrupted, that most embedded system problems were either trivial in nature, or repaired and replaced in time, or on a fix-on-failure basis.
Keep in mind: we were still in a bad-news-blackout where any technological failures will be blamed on anything other than Y2K, or not publicized, even when blatantly related. You can be certain major failures in mainframes or other networks occurred throughout the rollover period. The propaganda was still operating in full force.
Through late 1998 to late 1999, I and most other Y2K gurus had failed to recognize and acknowledge these altered, positive developments; our minds had still been stuck in the old pessimistic battle of awareness -- a battle that had already been won, at least in the technological sense. Instead, we continued to fight a losing battle for public perception with the (idealistic) hope of shaking up the unaware public or anyone else who would listen into personal or community preparation. This was a battle bound to be lost in the big picture, was not part of The Plan and became futile after February 1999; and most failed to recognize it, though these warnings still did serve a useful purpose in keeping people on their toes. The intentions of the skeptics and alarmists were well placed and productive; our struggle against what we perceived as an overly optimistic PR campaign failed because, it turned out, this optimism was well placed, though often for the wrong reasons. Actually, the general public/ Joe Six-Pack never really did "get it" and still doesn't. This was the first major issue to be discussed, argued, assessed, and debated almost entirely on the newly emerged medium called the Internet.
I believe there are few coincidences in life and worldly affairs. The Internet, brimming with knowledge, opinions and information (or misinformation) arrived at precisely the same time knowledge of the severity and threat of Y2K became robust. This emergence first came in 1997 when awareness of Y2K spread and grew quite rapidly. Previously very few comprehended the extent and potential societal implications and whatever Y2K information was available could easy be assimilated by one person.
At that time there were only a few precursor Y2K consultants and alarmists pounding the pavement such as Peter de Jager, Russ Kelly, John Westergaard, Jim Lord, Ed Yourdon, Ed Yardeni, Senator Bennett -- even John Koskinen (I've wrongly been harsh on him – sorry, John ...) among others that accomplished a great deal of awareness (and many made some ca$h for this as well, but that's not the point). This first stage of warning and awareness effectively shocked a multitude into much-needed action in the right places and therefore was beneficial:
"... I am not saying that we would have been better off if the existence of the Y2K problem had never been publicized. In that event, the remedial actions that have been expended over the past two years would surely have fallen short ... the desirability of publicizing the existence of a pending significant technical breakdown was never in question -- and never should have been ..." Alan Greenspan September, 1999.
There was also an emergence of one who has probably had the greatest influence of all on the entire Y2K: Gary North. Gary is a newsletter author with a doctorate in history and since late 1996 has built a massive 7000 page/link Y2K site, updated almost daily with a multitude of information, making it the foremost encyclopedia and database on general Y2K information, admittedly pessimistically biased and with a somewhat theological agenda.
Gary fought many battles in dealing with adversaries in his rise to prominence dealing with this highly controversial, complex subject using much wisdom and debate. It is significantly through the writings of his site and sites of similar nature (as this one), persistence and presence that we passed the threshold of the millennium without a hitch. Had these precursor gurus not been present, ignored or not taken seriously (and many have wrongly wished they would have been silenced -- or put to death) the world would have experienced, come late 1999 and 2000, major breakdowns; a total panic; possibly societal collapse. This is contrary to the critics' claims that they would cause a panic or self-fulfilling prophecy. How so?

Reality of prophecy

The most rewarding and satisfactory prophecy, prediction or future assessment one can make is NOT one that comes true, but one that is heeded, taken seriously by the right people in the right places so as to alter the final outcome; one where the prophet is ultimately wrong, through a self-defeating mechanism. With the whole Y2K situation this has definitely occurred, though most do not see this as quite obvious, and therefore have been constantly attacking the messenger, even after Y2K, for being "wrong."
Historically unprecedented, Y2K was a serious, reality-based, impending technological problem with a known date which also involved potentially severe, negative social consequences had insufficient warning been applied. There are several ways the future can be altered. In respect to Y2K, the future time-line of events and social behavior was indeed significantly modified to the positive through active intervention, as the final outcome showed.
When, for example, Y2K awareness and perception of magnitude was dismally low and still considered a nonsense, fringe subject in early 1998, Daniel took it upon himself to repeatedly contact Gary North, Ed Yourdon and Art Bell -- popular night-time radio host with 10 to 20 million open-minded listeners. (No; there were no ulterior motives for doing this -- they have never met me.) Gary finally made it on for a frightening 4-hour show in May, 1998. The result of this show and other shows following (Ed Yourdon finally made it on as well) was profound as millions, including thousands of influential politicians, corporate managers, authorities, government agencies and the mainstream media, were shocked into realizing just how big, complex and serious the Y2K problem really was.
Through this cause-and-effect relationship, mass awareness and thenceforth preventive action spread, cascaded and snowballed throughout the English-speaking world; the part of the world most computer-dense and therefore in need of it.
While the author's site has "only" received 150,000 hits since its inception before 2000, a disproportionate percentage of readers were of authoritative and influential identity, including a multitude of senators, among them Robert Bennett & Chris Dodd, congressmen, business leaders, and other Y2K gurus and IT managers. So, therefore, my role in creating and accomplishing a self-defeating prophecy has been significant. Most of this was done behind the scenes: witness the Art Bell/Gary North set-up; word spread rapidly. This is not said to be prideful or boastful as it was simply, I know now (since November 1999), part of my Job and Mission. Nor do I expect any official credit of recognition; it is a thankless Job.
One aspect of Y2K taken seriously was social reaction to it, in particular, the consequence of mass preparation (referred to as "panic" since only a few would ever have been able to prepare as such simultaneously) as well as loss of confidence in the financial markets such as the stock market and (most importantly, the fragility of) the banking system. No one has beat on the drum of the banking issue more than Gary North. What we were not privy to was that such pre0.7_B93">ordained, widespread discussion and awareness of bank runs/panic had the opposite effect he had wished for; officials intervened in response through the media with all sorts of bump-in-road proclamations (even that turned out to be a pessimistic scenario!) and mind control and effectively psychologically subdued the public from taking such action. In fact, to further keep the public in greed mode (as opposed to fear mode) the central banks flooded the system with money; currency and fiat, expanding an already overinflated bubble, thereby ensuring a pre-2000 non-crash.
Lesson: The message of the alarmists and activists was heard loud and clear, taken seriously enough, early enough so as to alter the final outcome and actual flow of time and course of history and therefore all of you deserve a great big pat on the back (regardless of motives). No, you won't get credit where credit is due, but you will be rewarded.
We have done most of this subconsciously and unconsciously; we didn't realize it, but you were part of a grand conspiracy called God's Plan. While it was true many had financial or religious motives behind such "fear-mongering," the end result was positive, the way it was supposed to occur. There are other Agents working behind the scenes as well.
The author's motives were never material. Sure, there have been ads on this site in the past, but very, very little was actually made; the ultimate motive, I knew now (since November, 1999, time of awakening), was divinely inspired. I have made perhaps $360 from Y2K and my site -- total (that's it!), yet have spent thousands of hours on it, and with deep contemplation and devotion. In other words, this site has been charity: to aid in understanding; to motivate; to speculate into the future; to inform of what is to come.
Almost from Day One anyone courageous enough to even suggest Y2K may have negative consequences -- especially in the midst of a record economic boom where optimism and overconfidence prevailed, was continually attacked, assaulted and blamed. A public bad-news blackout was in full force. Greed, not fear, has been the overriding emotion of the masses and investors. It is that which contains the ultimate seeds of the upcoming economic catastrophe. As such, the longer and stronger the recent and current boom and bubble continues, the greater the final reckoning.

A Prophet's Error? ... Or Victory?

Both, as shall be explained. Any Y2K assessments or "predictions" were not "from God," but of mortal origin. They were essentially a compilation and conglomeration of the minds of other Y2K gurus, and humans make mistakes. The major mistake Daniel had made was to disregard the intuition I obviously felt and discerned since early 1999. I truly sensed things had changed for the positive and there really was reason for genuine optimism. Unfortunately the mental portion of the mind remained in this stubborn, old awareness battle of 1998, therefore staying the same path of pessimism and negativity. This was due to the overwhelming evidence that still seemed to suggest a disaster. My instincts, however, were screaming otherwise.
This was shown in a dream in full color in July 1999 that I briefly mentioned to my subscribers. To confirm this one may go to the July 27 1999 update of the newsletter archives (#68 at http://www.listbot.com/archive/collapse). I had said:
"... I had a weird dream last night. Let's hope it's prophetic: I dreamt of the Jan 1 Y2K rollover. Nothing happened! The lights stayed on and there were no noticeable ill effects. I felt like a moron for storing food and supplies! Too bad it was just a dream."
It was a dream where I was up in a skyscraper overlooking a major city shortly before the Y2K rollover. In this dream -- seen in full clarity -- I was full of anxiety in anticipation, looking down at the brightly lit metropolis, waiting for the power to shut down and chaos to break loose. To my shock, in this dream, virtually nothing happened across the country in the following hours! When I awoke I figured it must have been a nightmare; considering the consensus among most Y2K gurus that there would almost surely have been major outages and other problems, this seemed impossible. Become a Pollyanna based on a dream? Obviously since, I have been more keen in having faith in these dreams. It was prophetic, and it was correct!
Shortly after, the author felt in the heart that following and covering it (negative portion of Y2K) was no longer viable; it seemed senseless to continue such Y2K doomsaying; hence very few updates on the site were made since then. Indeed, the author really and truly did become more optimistic, as there was genuine reason for it! Shortly after the September 28, 1999 update, the author began a journey of divine revelation when who and what I was, was discerned, as briefly mentioned in the December 6, 1999 update, the first since the awakening. Anyway, what else positive came of Y2K?
The scare has compelled banks, phone companies, and manufacturers to make their computerized nervous systems vastly more efficient and cheaper to run; a focus, discipline and encouragement to make the changes and upgrades, weeding out aged or superfluous coding and programs they knew had to be made anyways. Companies will recoup in the long term any monies spent because they now have excellent, modern networks, completely tested and working to perfection. That can only be positive.
We have shaken many people out of their modern-world slumber, preparing for and thinking about a future disaster, which will come in very handy when things get rough such as due to a natural disaster or period of unemployment. People who prepared should NOT feel silly. In fact, they should continue to prepare since the coming years WILL be rough, regardless of Y2K.
Governments, agencies and communities now have a cohesive, cooperative infrastructure and system in place to deal with any natural or man-made disaster. There are many more, of course, but the point is made.

Chapter 2: First economic forecast since awakening, early 2000

The following is a remnant from an economic update made in February, 2000 for the rest of the year, documented here for the record, exactly as written, and sent out to subscribers, but still generally holds; read carefully and note how it came completely true ...

Contemporary New Age/Economy/Era economist:

"We are living in an age of increasing prosperity and consequent increasing earning power of corporations and individuals. This is due in large measure to mass production and inventions such as the world never before has witnessed. The rapidity with which worthwhile inventions are brought out is the result of the tremendous research laboratories of our great [technology companies]. Applications of these inventions to business means greatly enhanced earning power. This is a new and tremendously powerful factor in the [business] world and one which never before existed."

Just before that paragraph, the gentleman said,

"Stock prices are not too high and Wall Street will not experience anything in the nature of a crash. There may be a decline in stock prices, but not anything in the nature of a crash."

Who is this economist? The gentleman who spoke the words quoted above was Professor Irving Fisher of Yale University, dated September 5,1929, acknowledged at the time as being a stock market expert. The fact that the Dow was down 47% in less than ten weeks from the date that quote was published is scary indeed. History doesn't repeat; only the names and faces have been changed ...
Based on the Fed's own valuation model the market is presently (as of Feb. 2000) 60% overvalued! Very recently it approached 70%! If the Dow is this much overvalued at the current 11,000, this means a crash of 60% would place it at around 6,800. This would simply be normal valuation. To the public, investors and the economy this would be a total calamity. The NASDAQ is the worst: valuations are completely indefensible by all measures. Earnings, based on unrealistically high expectations, will not grow forever.
No sane investor would dare look at present valuations and conclude that this is a healthy market to buy into ... unless he is a speculator or into shorts and options. Market capitalization historically averages 50% of GDP. Shortly before the crash of 1929, an era of extreme speculation, it was a whopping 87%. What should make any investor paranoid is the fact that it is now 125% of GDP in the U.S.! To bring it down to a sane level by this measure means (approx.) Dow 3,300. But in a crash/depression situation it would temporarily drop to (say) 25% of GDP which would mean a Dow of 1,500. If a depression occurs where GDP drops 20-30%, then the Dow, correcting for these numbers, would approach 1,000 or less at the trough.
Price-to-earnings levels are at a range never before seen. P/E ratios in a normal market typically range from 8-to-one to 15-to-one. When it hits 21 or 22-to-one, one of two things usually happens: The price of the market must decline or the earnings must be raised. The insanity of the current mania is the fact that it reached a never-before-seen 35-to-one (in the S&P)! This is only the broad average, of course, and many individual stocks are in the triple digit range. Many, having no earnings, are at infinity.
It's only a short matter of time before the bubble bursts, and a tremendous amount of wealth will be lost. [Of course, a tremendous amount of wealth was lost, and the tech bubble burst dramatically within a couple of months.]

Chapter 3: General outlook for the year 2000; fulfilled

This was also made around the time of February, 2000 for the rest of the year, as a general economic forecast, and mentions the election of Bush, documented here for the record ...Virtually all of it was indeed fulfilled accurately as well.

The market at this stage is inherently unstable. At some point something -- no one can ever know when or quite what -- will trigger a decision by some to get out. Once the purely speculative component has been built into the structure, the eventual result is, to repeat, inevitable: a crash. There should be major declines over the next two months, in March and April, possibly delayed to May, when a panic crash will most likely occur. The Dow should definitely close below 10,000 and in a worst-case to a 7,500 level before rebounding back to 10,000-ish. Summer should be sideways and/or rising, but not to new highs. As was the case last year, and the year before ... AND the year before; declining in August and September, then possibly crashing before or during the elections, probably in October. Bush (or, most likely Mc Cain?) elected president, and like his father, and/or political party, becomes scapegoat for major global recession occurring most of his term. The underlying economy should remain strong for most of this year. Though some caution should be used, and this chart indicates the real portion of the coming collapse should take place well into 2001 and into 2002, possibly 2003. [Note, I had here inserted a chart indicating when lows of bear markets occur during the election cycle based on past elections, and it showed 2001 and 2002 as the most likely time.]
The short-term bear market of this spring shall come to pass if the Fed decides to dish out the medicine of higher interest rates in the first half of the year to avoid doing so during the elections. When the market declines significantly, expect consumer sentiment, confidence and spending to shift, taking an alarming nose-dive. The economy has been too dependent on massive consumer borrowing and spending, also fueled by the "wealth effect" of sky-high market valuations. We are soon to pay the price for it, too. In order to bring this mania back from insanity, it can be expected for the Dow to eventually plummet to around 2400, and that may be optimistic; it may very well dip below 1,000. The NASDAQ will be hit the hardest and will lose 60% at least and ultimately 90% (peak to trough) in the coming years. [By spring 2001, the NASDAQ was down 60%. The Fed did raise interest rates, and after the summer of 2000, all indicators such as consumer sentiment took an alarming nose-dive.]
Following this mania will be a constant, agonizing decline throughout the times ahead, until roughly late 2004. The U.S. will join the rest of the world in recession/deflation in due time -- no bubble lasts forever, nor do they slowly deflate, as we saw in 1929. Watch for continually higher interest rates. Make no mistake about it; the bull is nearly dead and the overall trend will be down. [Of course, the bull died within months, and did not slowly deflate.]
There is a mistaken sentiment that double-digit gains will always be made. Historical data show that over the VERY long term (generations) stocks do in fact earn better returns than other instruments However, they tend to go through 16-20 year periods when it's either bullish OR stagnant, as in the case of 1929 to 1950. For instance, from 1966-1982, the Dow barely moved. In real inflation-adjusted purchasing power, long term "buy and hold" stock investors LOST money. In fact, long-term, dividend re-invested, inflation- and tax-adjusted S&P 500 annual returns are NO MORE THAN 4% !! Since 1871 it averages only 1.46%!
The present long-term cyclical bull-market that began in 1982 is nearly 20 years old, and about to die. How long will this one last, in order to purge and recoup? Oh, 16-20 years.
The coming bust will in part be determined by policy actions or inactions of the Fed and government officials, as well as to what degree consumers retrench or panic. It will certainly be a recession, and it will certainly be global, severe and prolonged, and may very well be identified as a genuine depression.
In the chapter, Global Economic Instability, the case is made that the vastly increased global trade and world economy that has emerged in the 1990's, contrary to popular belief that it marks a New Era of global trade and co-operation, is actually a highly unstable precursor for a global economic collapse in world trade similar to 1929-1930, of which we got a taste of with the Asian crisis of 1997-1998. As said by legendary Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volker:
"The fate of the world economy is now totally dependent on the growth of the U.S. economy, which is dependent on the stock market, whose growth is dependent on about 50 stocks, half of which have never reported any earnings."
Foreigners currently own 40% of all U.S. debt, up from 10% only ten years ago. There should be a massive pullout of the U.S. market, which is currently viewed as a haven of foreign investors, thereby inducing a dramatic drop in the dollar. This, combined with the astronomical money growth of recent years, may very well produce an inflationary depression, or stagflation, with a drop in standard of living. In this scenario interest rates would skyrocket.
On the other hand, there are strong underlying deflationary forces at work, such as the technological, productivity revolution innovating the economy, oversupply and intense competitive forces. The sharp reduction in demand on the part of consumers who have been spending far beyond their means, consisting of two-thirds of all domestic spending, would further exacerbate this deflationary spiral. A reversal from borrow-and-spend to retrenchment and the resulting reduction in demand -- most importantly of overseas products -- bringing the currently nonexistent savings rate back to historical levels will also be deflationary.
Investor and public sentiment took a dangerous turn to complacency and over-confidence in the immediate post-Y2K time frame. Since then, anyone with bearish thought has been scoffed at, ridiculed, and met with sour hostility, even from many former bears now converted into perma-bulls. This is a strong contrary indicator.
One of the only fears investors seem to have at present is of missing out on triple-digit gains in the NASDAQ. Ed Yardeni has gone back to his bullish New Economy/Dow 15,000 by 2005 mantra, and 99% of the public is content with a booming economy and tight labor market. It's wine and roses forever -- forever and ever. Or so they surmise. The U.S. economy grew at a 5.8% annual rate the last quarter of 1999! The federal budget deficits rebuked; never-ending surpluses until 2010, or so says Clinton (the actual debt is still over $5 trillion). Minimal inflation! Unemployment rate 4.1%!
This, of course, is about to change. Enjoy it while you can, but don't let all this good news fool you. There's a beginning and end to everything. We are quickly approaching the last hurrah of our current bubble economy and the tail end of the record nine-year-old booming business cycle and are now awaiting the soon-to-arrive U.S. and global recession-cum-depression. [It did change very rapidly.]
Indeed, it is almost amusing to watch this mass delusion of extreme froth of over-optimism, and how it is extrapolated into the future. 1999 and early 2000 will be remembered as a time of hubristic euphoria, the ultimate calm before the storm. Or, taken in the context of the 1997/98 global meltdown, the eye of the storm. Sit back and take a wide-angle picture of this current environment and save it for future reference, as it shall contrast wildly with what is in store for the near and long-term future. [Mark it down, this is now history.]
Recognizing this "sheeple" phenomenon of mass delusion and sentiment, and the cyclical swing to and from pessimism or optimism, is a fascinating pursuit. Throughout history the mood of any given population repeatedly shifts in unison, often with abrupt turning points. It is the reward of social historians and futurists to first capture and identify this sentiment after objective observation, then through worldly events and other forces, cycles or evidence, determine when the next shift in mood will occur.
The general resurgence and boom/bull market that America has witnessed for nearly two decades will soon be consolidated into a period of crisis and upheaval where the nation's current mindset of superficial well-being led by greed and blazing economy is swept away and imbalances and structural weaknesses are exposed.
The limitations of such long-term projections is determining, with any degree of accuracy, the precise year, month or day such a turning point really begins. Fortunately there are shorter cycles that can be found within the larger saeculum.
Using recent history as an example, we observed a brief period from 1983 to 1985 where the national mood of America shifted from one of deep pessimism (Remember downbeat 1980 when the consensus forecasters expected oil to run out and inflation to skyrocket? Disinflation and cheap petrol became the reality.) to that of a pseudo rebirth coinciding with President Reagan's "Morning in America." The prevailing mood for the remainder of the eighties was that of a hollow optimism with an underlying sense of a foreboding future as the nation's fundamentals worsened (fiscal, trade deficits, relative social/economic decline ... the unraveling).
The last hurrah of this epoch (in a sense it is not over yet, merely interrupted) was the 1991 Gulf War and the burst of patriotism it produced. The following prolonged economic decline and recession plunged the national mood into another period of general despair that lasted until roughly 1994/1995. Economists and forecasters at the time were making all sorts of dire predictions, such as $500 billion budget deficits and government bankruptcy by 1996, etc. It turned out, of course, that these extrapolations -- based on the status quo consensus of the time -- were once again dead wrong. Remember how Japan was supposed to take over the world? It is now near collapse and is running government deficits equal to 10% of GDP!
1994 marked another short-term turning point in public sentiment -- though few recognized it at the time. Since then the domestic U.S. economy has grown at a brisk pace, the stock market tripled and deficits became surpluses. The previous consensus forecasts were wrong. These conditions have accelerated to that of hubris, which we are now in. There have been short-lived times within this period when bursts of pessimism reigned. The Asian crisis began in the fall of 1997 when the Dow crashed 500 points and confidence (temporarily) receded. While the crisis continued to worsen overseas, the U.S. economy continued to advance when yet another short-lived grim mood took hold in the fall of 1998 and stocks dropped 19%. The concerns of 1998 have been all but forgotten -- but will eventually resume; the bubble wasn't ready to burst yet; there was still more momentum to carry through 1999 when it rebounded sharply to its recent January 11,722 high. Mark this number down; it may be referred to historians as the final top. [In fact it was].
As in previous eras, the mainstream is extrapolating present conditions -- that of a top -- linearly into the future, which time will prove not only wrong, but also recklessly way off base.
These projections and the status quo consensus of such nonsense as "Dow 36,000", even Dow 100,000, and multi-trillion dollar federal budget surpluses will surely prove wrong along with the assumption that the current boom and business cycle (already unprecedented) will continue with absolutely no setbacks such as a recession! This much-touted, so-called New Economy of rapid technological and productivity revolution is, to be sure, a very real phenomenon, yet it co-exists and is superimposed upon the most extremely overblown bubble the world has seen. The Old Economy, with its familiar and time-tested fundamentals of booms and busts governing a capitalist system, is very much alive and well. The situation is eerie and frighteningly reminiscent of 1929. History does in fact repeat, in fact, almost in carbon copy fashion. This oft-quoted professor declared just days before The Crash:
"Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanent high plateau ... I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher than it is today within a few months" Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, Oct 15, 1929
"The markets generally are now in a healthy condition ... values have a sound basis in the general prosperity of our country" Charles E. Mitchell, president of the National City Bank, October 15, 1929
About 40 years after a key technology begins to permeate society, an historic depression takes place.

1920's: Declared "New Era" with technological revolution, innovation and mania in newly emerged telephone, radio and automobiles. RCA radio mania and 2,000 auto manufacturers, then consolidated into a tiny handful by the end of the 1930's. Number of passenger cars on the road increased from 7 million to 23 million. Automobile technology, which evolved in the 1890's, hit 40 and the mid-technology depression of 1929-1933 resulted.
1990's: Declared "New Economy" with technological revolution, innovation and mania in newly emerged Internet and tech-heavy NASDAQ sector. Microsoft, Yahoo! AOL, and the thousands of upstart technology and Internet businesses to be consolidated into a handful by the late 2000's. The computer revolution that essentially began in the mid-1960's points to the early 2000's.

1920's: "... it was an age of consolidation ..." "... the mergers of this period brought together not firms in competition with each other but firms doing the same thing ... " (TLC pogo. 44)
1990's: Mobil/Exxon, Sprint/Worldcom, etc., etc., etc. (not to mention AOL/TW.)

1920's: Newly emerged fad investment vehicles called Trusts.
1990's: Newly emerged fad investment vehicles called mutual funds, among a myriad of others.

1920's: President Calvin Coolidge prosperity; declares, "The chief business of the American people is business." Hoover becomes scapegoat for following depression.
1990's: President Clinton prosperity; declarations of prosperity in final State of the Union address. Bush (or Mc Cain) and Greenspan made scapegoat for coming depression.

1920's: Moralistic crusade against vices. Lost generation; Prohibition; gangsters; rum-runners; flappers.
1990's: Moralistic crusade against vices. Generation X; war on drugs/cigarettes; gangsters/rappers; drug dealers; grunge.

1920's: Skyrocketing personal debt; over-leverage in financial markets. Margin purchases as measured by Broker Loan Account totals grew from $1-1.5B in the early 1920s to about $6 B in 1929 or between 400-500%. There was also a lot of call money injected by businesses as well as individuals.
1990's: Skyrocketing personal debt; over-leverage in financial markets; savings rate effectively zero; record bankruptcies despite boom. Leverage margin requirements have remained at 50%, public now borrowing against their portfolios at alarming rate; $230 billion in borrowed debt in 1999, exploding from $115 billion in 1998, and from $62 billion in November 1994!

1920's: Breadth on the NYSE began to deteriorate in May 1928, long before the Great Crash.
1990's: Since mid-1998 until present market breadth has made its greatest divergence in stock market history.

1920's: Dollar trading volume shortly before the 1929 crash in stocks approached 130% of GDP, which normally, historically averaged 25% in normal times.
1990's: Dollar trading skyrocketed and has now reached 200%!

1920's: The saying of the late 1920's: "When the average Joe Public starts entering the market en masse, then a crash is imminent ..."
1990's: Baby boomers and the public plow their savings into the market for retirement or speculation and Internet traders take part in the boom. Percentage of public who owned stocks in the mid-eighties was 18%. It has now reached 50%!

1920's: Historically, market capitalizations are about 50% of GDP. Before the 1929 crash it rose to 87%.
1990's: It is now over 125% of GDP!

1920's: Historically extremely priced stock bubble. Immediately prior to the Crash of 1929 the P.E. stood at only 16 Times, Dividend Yields cruised at about 2.9%, and Market Price was topping at 2 Times Book. Dow index appreciated more than 275% from 1924 to 1929.
1990's: Historically extremely priced stock bubble. Aggregate index of S&P 500 plus NASDAQ plus Dow almost identical in scope and run-up. In fact, exceeding it. P.E. ratio reached 35 to 1 in the S&P 500. Dividend Yields were a very miserly 1.3%. Market Price to Book an astronomical 6 TIMES. The Dow index increased in value nearly 230% recently during an equal time period.

1920's: During 1929 the FED used its open market mechanisms to attempt to stem the boom. The Treasury's inventories got very low at that time.
1990's: The FED is using its open market mechanisms to attempt to stem the boom. Treasury's inventory of securities are right now very low.

1920's: Germany lost World War One, suffered massive hyperinflation and depression throughout decade, resulting in dictator, ultimately leading to World War Two.
1990's: Russia lost Cold War in dissolution of Soviet Union, followed by hyperinflation and depression throughout decade. Will ultimately lead to dictator (Putin?) who will lead us to World War Three.

As a result of these hardships a new strategic paradigm will emerge, which actually began in 1999 during the Kosovo crisis where a Global Realignment took place, as a precursor for this war to come.
We're facing a few rough years ahead, but it won't be the end of the world. There will always be nations and human civilizations to inhabit the Earth. Despite temporary hardships, we will once again climb out of the rubble and start over like a Phoenix rising from the ashes, soaring to ever-greater heights. However, as history demonstrates, the price paid for social and economic progress is periods of severe wars, chaos and human suffering. This tends to repeatedly occur once every fourth generation, in a Fourth Turning Crisis. Since the last major era of crises and conflicts ended in 1945, we are now soon due for another.
To the casual observer -- particularly the average American who has never experienced the trauma of depression or global war -- such dark visions are difficult to comprehend or emotionally accept -- even more so when taken in the context of our current era of prosperity and general optimism. Unfortunately, we have now passed the point of no return; the journey is about to begin.
One can take consolation in the potential return of stability after the upcoming time of trauma consolidates into resolution beyond 2010 or 2015. Such evolution from birth, maturity, decay, death then rebirth of humans, societies and nations is not only natural and (in a sense) desirable, but unavoidable. How we emerge from these crises ultimately depends on how we prepared for and reacted to its consequences within the larger framework of human destiny.

Chapter 4: March, 2000 economic forecast; fulfilled

NOTE: This is an untouched, unedited version of an economic forecast made March 17, 2000 based on a prophetic, divine dream which came almost entirely true.

March 17, 2000.

"Strange times are these in which we live when old and young are taught in falsehoods school. And the one man that dares to tell the truth is called at once a lunatic and fool" (Plato)

Remember the event mentioned in the last message? An event to occur on March 16? Well, it was a panic alright...a buying-panic-rally with the Dow skyrocketing 499 points!
The latest gross domestic product report indicated the U.S. economy grew at an astonishing (and of course unsustainable) 6.9% at an annual rate in the last quarter of 1999! New Economy, or bubble? Actually, both. Yes, the nature of conducting business is changing due to the current technological innovation -- exactly like the late 1920's. Yes, this is additionally the greatest speculative mania of all-time, exceeding even that of 1929 in virtually all respects. This is a far more dangerous situation as the market is now heavily intertwined with consumer spending, borrowing and the economy in general, as well as massive foreign ownership, the result of persistent, record trade deficits.
Notice the eerie calm and silence among bears in the past month or two? They all seem to have given up, exhausted by the relentless bullishness of the complacent majority, thereby throwing in the towel; or at least hibernating. Their growl has turned to an impotent whimper. This is how one can determine calamity lies directly around the corner: You are the only one left; the last bear crying wolf, adamantly screaming, "The end is nigh!" The current environment is a contrarian's dream come true. Then again, that's what we all said last year, and the year before, and....well, ahem..THIS TIME it's different!
Even though the vast, vast majority of stocks are currently well into a bear market, the public and media seem to be heavily focusing only on the rallies occurring mostly to the fringe, tulip-mania sectors; dot-coms, bio-tech and computers. For some months now--particularly since January -- extreme volatility due to "distribution at the top" created a situation where vast quantities of money gushes from the interest-rate sensitive Old Economy sector into the fad, New Economy, Nasdaq stocks. (Remember the mid-1990's fad: the Global Economy? Or the Asian Tigers?)
A mania can be discerned by its exponential time of doubling. Eventually it will and must come to an abrupt U-turn -- a crash -- thereby free-falling with great losses in a very short period of time. That time is close at hand. [Of course, it did, within a month.]
The following demonstrates this recent growth pattern as the Nasdaq broke through several barriers, and the time to arrive at such:
Nasdaq milestones: First 1000 points; 1,248 weeks. Crossing 2000; 156 weeks. Crossing 3000; 60 weeks. Crossing 4000; 17 weeks. Crossing 5000; 10 weeks. Back to 4000. But the next number will either one last final blow-off to 6000 -- or -- the final reckoning is at hand.
This is occurring in the face of continually rising interest rates, tight labor market, ultra-booming domestic economy and record volatility. In this surreal state of being, the market can fly anywhere; violently crashing one day, violently rallying the next. The markets will in fact continue to do so over the coming weeks. This is a speculator's dream come true; and a nightmare for the average investor. It seems pointless at this juncture in attempting to call the absolute, exact top in terms of the entire conglomerated market, but the general top we are indeed immersed in, or have surpassed, at the very present.
The big clincher, or the nail in the coffin, will be a half-point hike in interest rates by the Fed on March 21. I don't know if this was a prophetic dream or not (therefore from God, like others I have had recently), but in early March I had a lucid dream that this was indeed the case: interest rates, in this vision, went up a full half-point, and the press made a big commotion of it, and so did investors: there was chaos for several days. Whether this was for March 21 or some other time in the future cannot be determined, but mark my words: it will ultimately happen soon enough. [Of course, it did come to pass]
In any case, time's well over-due for the market to crash horrendously in the near-term, and the Nasdaq will lead the way; don't be caught in the maelstrom. [The Nasdaq led the way.]
If the final market top (well, at least in the Dow and S&P) was reached January 15, 2000 at 11,722, and if we see a replay of 1929 and 1987, it can guesstimated that since the crash of those years were 55 to 60 days from the peak, mid-March onwards will be very, very nasty. [The top was correctly called, an two months later the markets reach the general peak.]
But if the top is determined by the now significant Nasdaq, the Crash still lies well down the line. Historically, often, the actions of the stock market precedes real economic conditions by three to six months. Therefore, if this scenario play out in the weeks ahead, the upcoming recession will begin late this year, after the elections, but observing the strength of the here-and-now bubble and all the momentum it contains, a nasty downturn into 2001 and beyond seems more plausible. Poor 'ol G. W. Bush; having to suffer the fate of his father; he had better be skillfully adept at shifting or deflecting blame, for he and his political party will be held responsible for the economic disaster that is to occur during his reign.
The precise character, magnitude and length the up-coming but not imminent recession is difficult to determine with any precision, yet will certainly be one of the most painful in this nation's history, in order to match and purge the speculative excesses of the currently unprecedented boom.
The present sentiment throughout the status quo is that the U.S. will continue the record 9-year-old upturn, indefinitely extending well into the years ahead, is obviously unrealistic. There are many indicators now popping up from all sides since early this year that are convincingly evidentiary of an impending U.S. recession that may begin and manifest as early as late this year, which will definitely snowball into 2001 and 2002, and the effects much longer. First, Greenspan perceives and links the boisterous economy of late to possible inflationary pressures, which he feels obliged to intervene. There is little real evidence of this supposed inflation, of course, but the Guru Chairman is stubbornly adamant about continually raising interest rates until things get ugly. He is determined to do this well before the elections, and it is a sure bet rates will go up -- possibly way up come the March Federal reserve open market meeting. So far investors merely shrugged off the last three hikes which were minute slaps on the wrist. But this next hike and those following -- particularly if it is more than a quarter percent; the straw that breaks the camel's back. It is also clear he and his cronies are attempting to deflate the irrationally exuberant stock bubble. Preferably he may wish and hope for these actions and medicine to be delivered cautiously, administered over the months ahead, resulting in a "soft landing," thereby averting a crash and recession. This has been attempted several times throughout history, and throughout history has always failed; resulting in disaster as the following shows:
U.S.A., 1927; Interest rates lowered 0.5 of a percentage point due to a potential international financial crisis. 1928; Three interest rate increases. 1929; NY Federal Reserve Bank proposes interest rate increase in February; rejected by the Federal Reserve Board in Washington. Interest rates increased 0.5 of a percentage point in August. Stockmarket loses 35 per cent

JAPAN 1987; Potential global crisis as a result of Black Monday stockmarket crash - low interest rate policy from October 1987 to May 1989. 1989; Three interest rate increases. 1990; Interest rate increase of one percentage point in March.
Interest rates increased 0.75 of a percentage point in August. Stockmarket loses 40 percent.

U.S.A.; 1998 Interest rates lowered three times as a result of a potential global meltdown. 1999; Three interest rate increases. 2000; Interest rate increase of 0.25 of a percentage point in February. ??

[Of course, interest rates went up a half point in spring, 2000, with a very sharp slow down afterwards.]

Chapter 5: Japan

Once perceived as an economic miracle and model to be followed, Japan has actually been in what may be called a depression for the past decade after its bubble popped in 1990. Its stock market is still half the level achieved in 1989. Interest rates are almost zero, and deflation is the predominant worry as they reel under the weight of a trillion dollars in bad, un-performing bank debt procured during their version of America's 1920's: the 1980's.
The much-touted Asian recovery following the 1997 and 1998 financial crises is, at best, a temporary and illusory aberration. While most east Asian countries have been able to avert further declines and collapses, and their stock markets are recovering, the underlying fundamentals of this region's largest economy, Japan, continue to slide in and out of oblivion.
After spending all of 1998 in recession, it is back in recession with GDP declining 3.9% on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 1999 and is fully expected to have declined in a similar fashion in the last quarter, as the soon-to-be-released official figures will confirm. This is in spite of massive, stimulatory government borrowing and spending with government deficits approaching 9% of GDP, adding to the astounding overall debt level of nearly 150% of GDP.
One of the major factors recently and currently preventing a collapse and why the 1998 crisis was halted is the booming U.S. economy as flush consumers snap up record amounts of autos and other products in the recent and ongoing credit-fueled spending binge, generously provided by record credit issuance by Santa Greenspan and his elves. If Japan cannot seem to recover to any significant degree with all this robust demand the U.S. and other Western nations are offering, what happens when Americans stop spending and enter a recession?
Answer: A spiraling deflationary disaster.
When -- not if, when -- the U.S. stock market crashes and enters its long-term secular bear market, a negative wealth effect will take hold and demand for overseas products will abate quite substantially. In this market collapse, foreign investors are likely to begin pulling out of the currently high-flying U.S. indexes, further precipitating a downward stock-price spiral. The dollar would drop, thereby increasing the cost and therefore demand of these foreign products, further reducing global demand.
The cycle of borrow-and-spend on the part of consumers to that of save-and-retrenchment and attendant asset price deflation (if it turns out to be a general commodity and price inflationary recession, assets will lose their value relative to goods) will boost the current nonexistent savings rate back to the historical 6 to 10%.
Structural, systemic weakness, such as margin debt and over-leverage that are always masked during the bubble, will become apparent in a decline of more than about 18 to 20%, thereby initiating a financial crisis similar to the fall 1998 Long Term Management debacle. The former almost precipitated a massive, cascading cross-default among banks and financial institutions until the Fed came to the rescue, bailing them out. This time will be substantially worse than the environment of 1998, and there is more at stake.

Chapter 6: Latest economic news and insights, July 30, 2000, documented for the record

Due to the diversion created by angelic duties since the awakening, I had strayed from covering the economic portion of the site, until having another vision, which came to pass thereafter. Here was the brief experience as documented on the site and was the next analysis, sent out to subscribers, here unedited for the record:
"Recently, mid-July, I had another vivid dream which I regard as precognitive which will be mentioned. This vision was too phenomenal to be 'just another dream.' In this vision I was actually out-of-body, behind the scenes, present with them inside the Federal Reserve, in the same room with Alan Greenspan and his colleagues, and witnessed their distress and conversations with respect to the economy and upcoming interest rate rises and their relationship and intentions. Greenspan was leaning on a table discussing with colleagues in an informal manner with his face distorted.
"The 'distress' of their conversation conflicted what the board has been saying to the public as of late. It concerned the public view of their intentions to orchestrate a 'soft landing' which indicated they were (PRIVATELY) actually attempting to do more than this by continuing even further rate rises, almost deliberately (?) plunging the economy into recession next year! So despite the public overtures of knowing control in keeping the economy prosperous indefinitely, the behind-the-scene situation differs markedly to that of agony and conspiracy, at least that's what I saw while in this vision.
"As this letter is written, the economy is showing some tangible signs of slowing, even though the latest figures showed GDP expanding at an annual rate of 5.8% in the second quarter. The author has maintained for some time now that this is just the beginning of something far more dire. Obviously this view is not very popular considering the prevailing attitude amongst many (or most) economists and public who have grown accustomed to the long boom which the U.S. has experienced for so many years now. It is so easy to be deceived into the belief that "this time it's different" in such an environment of popular opinion.
"Although nothing earth-shattering is likely to occur in terms of world altering events until roughly late 2004, a general economic shake-up is certain. It will revolve around the 'New Economy' paradigm of the computer/internet economic revolution/bubble/boom. This shake-up will involve mass consolidation of the thousands and thousands of internet start-up businesses we've witnessed blossom of late. The vast majority (80%) will go belly-up and therefore consolidate over the short period of a couple years, which shall involve an ultra nasty recession with the stock prices of these tech-companies with the indexes thereof (i.e. Nasdaq) plunging to unheard-of lows before recovering. This, by the way, is a necessary component of such consolidation: it cannot occur on a mass scale until share prices are sufficiently low enough to make such large scale buy-outs economically feasible.
"However, despite all of this economic shake-down and corresponding pain thereof, the technology boom and spread of the internet will not only continue well into the years ahead, but will ultimately become standard and indispensable for businesses to EVEN SURVIVE beyond the times ahead. Therefore businesses and organizations MUST aggressively expand with great ingenuity into this new medium if they even expect to stay in business; even if it means no profit and losses for some time to come. Competition is fierce indeed.
"It is not the strong that survive...but those most adaptable to change. This is true of life in general. Don't be afraid of change and therefore growth. Don't go with the flow...swim faster than the flow."
That was all I wrote concerning the economy for the rest of 2000 while redirecting energies to the book.
As you can see, all of this came true. The shakedown revolved around the "New Economy" paradigm, and the economy slowed dramatically from that point on. It was difficult to determine the exact conversation while in the Reserve board, and was confused as to whether the conversation meant future rates rises, or that implied they had been raising them too much, too fast previously, creating a 2001 recession. It was the latter. The nail in the coffin was the half-point hike in spring 2000.

Chapter 7: Comment on above forecasts

Remember that all of the above was written in early 2000 or earlier. In fact, due to Daniel's angelic diversion, most of the economic analyses in this section were all prior to mid-2000. Although the content of the dream came to pass, it did not ensue in the exact chronology expected (the rate rise came after the crashes), but it came true nevertheless. So, also projected was a sideways and/or rising market through the fall, at which time there is an extremely high possibility of further declines before election time. That has been true. The NASDAQ had lost about 50% of its value by year's end and 60% by spring 2001, and the crashes of spring 2000 were correctly called. Remember also that this forecast was made at a time when everyone was extremely bullish, and talk of crashes at the time was ridiculed.
The technology and Internet sectors did indeed experience a very painful consolidation and shakedown. Yet everyone thought the boom was everlasting. It was very short, and Daniel foresaw this.
The outlook based on precognitive dreams all came true.
Specifically, these are the July 1999 prophetic dream concerning the outcome of Y2K (see Internet archives: http://www.listbot.com/archive/collapse edition #72 or 73), and the March 2000 vision of the interest rate rise and stock market crashes (see #85) which occurred shortly after. The next vision occurred in the summer of 2000, when out-of-body, in the Federal Reserve, I overheard Alan Greenspan's conversations with colleagues about engineering a 2001/2002 recession, or their fear that the previous, successive 6 rises in rates would do so. This was a future event (see # 89).
The most recent fulfillment of a projection made in March 2000 was a sideways or rising market through the summer, with crashes before or during the elections; to pass in the second week of October, with the Dow losing nearly 800 points in the previous week, and crashing 379 points on Thursday, the 12th. It's not over. The peak of the Dow was indeed 11,722, called in mid-January, 2000.
Remember, the Y2K scare was a warning issued which altered the outcome. Not a prophecy from God intended to be 100% correct, even though Daniel's 1999 Y2K vision DID come true very accurately. It may seem like extremely bad timing to be touched by the hand of God during the pre- and post-Y2K time frame. God works in mysterious but just ways and has a sense of humor, He waited until shortly before Y2K -- after I had been saying Y2K could be a disaster for 18 months -- to consciously awake and activate the dormant angel within and tell me I was Daniel. This was done to test my will and patience and ability to deal with criticism while simultaneously coming forward with this extraordinary information revealed.
It was not I who appointed and identified as such and was not my choice. It was the choice and doings of God, and to publicly humiliate and bring low His loyal servant; "Humiliation is the beginning of sanctification." Look at it this way: it would have been the work of the 'devil' to "boost my credibility" by making perfectly correct Y2K predictions, then immediately come forward with this information of Daniel's awakening to readers as I did in mid-January, 2000, shortly after the rollover. God has done this to me also to weed out the wicked and unwise, and those who cannot see. Please understand that the reason I and many others were "wrong" on Y2K was for a special reason: Y2K was a unique and alterable event in which my extensive involvement was (sub-consciously) directed in order to create a self-defeating prophecy according to God's Plan. The previous fear-mongering and dire assessments were necessary to shock people into action. I was only one of many sacrificial servants to this cause (crusade?).
In the story of Jonah for instance, the citizens of his city listened to his screams for repentance, they took heed, and thereby avoided a calamity. Would you then label Jonah a "false prophet?" Let us use a little common sense: did the prophets of old really know everything about the future? Of course not. You can be certain Daniel made plenty of errors in forecasting when he (me) was administrator over the affairs of Babylon. These were left out of the Scripture that was submitted because it had little or nothing to do with God. It was determining, for instance, how the weather and other agricultural growing seasons would develop. The dreams and prophetic encounters that were included in the scriptural manuscript were due to their divine nature, and I also will only discuss the visions of divine origin I have beheld.
The main prophecy from which all else stems (as opposed to "prediction") I make in the name of the Lord, based on an interpretation of the Doomsday Clock, a vision that was in fact from God, as were the handful of other visions mentioned. Again, the details are presently not known; they are secret and sealed until the time is right, and it is not a crime to speculate as to what these details may be until that occurs. The current physical embodiment severely limits this intuitive insight and ability. Sure it would be nice for Daniel to snap his fingers and receive all the information he wants, but that's not how it works. This distinction must be emphasized very strongly; the economic portion is something I know must occur as a precursor to the main strategic series of crises. Yet it is insane to expect a prophetic analysis involving many, many details and variables to come true word for word, unless it is based on a vision from God. As another example, Daniel could speculate on who the next president would be, but would never include it as "scripture" or from God unless it came in an unmistakable vision. Therefore only would Daniel ever include such visions which would be infallible.

Chapter 8: Daniel praises God for visions

The purest form of prophecy was the request to subscribers to pray for Daniel to have a vision of Christ; to see Him in person. This took place on Easter of 2000. Our prayers to God were answered.
It was the same spirit of prophecy that I employed in the previous incarnation as Biblical Daniel when under the threat of death from King Nebuchadnezzar of Babylon because the wise men could not tell him and interpret his troubling dream; in requesting for the prayerful aid of my companions, God gave the dream to me in a vision by night, thereby saving the lives of all the wise men doomed to destruction. The April 23 incident was identical in that it was an all-or-nothing ultimatum to see Christ, which I did, on the exact day expected. See chapter 2 for the whole story. After the dream was revealed, I said,

"He gives wisdom to the wise and knowledge to those who have understanding. He reveals deep and hidden things; he knows what is in the darkness, and light dwells with him. To you, O God of my ancestors, I give thanks and praise, for you have given me wisdom and power, and have now revealed to me what we asked of you, for you have revealed to us what the king ordered."

Daniel would only conduct such an organized prayer if he knew God would follow through and something would be seen. It was seen last time, and it will again. But I do not know what it will be. It takes wisdom to discern the difference between a true vision from God, and one that is just a regular dream. God has allowed Daniel to differentiate between them, and only the former are mentioned in the book of Daniel.

Chapter 9: Business cycle, U.S.

The business cycle of the economy for the U.S. since 1933.
Note that the average expansion cycle since 1945 averages 5 years. The average since 1854 is 4 years. The longest recorded was 1961 to 1969, 8 1/2 years. We are near the end of one of the most prosperous cycles in U.S. history. The last recession ended in March 1991. As of this writing in early 2000, we are in the tenth year of expansion. The probability of recession beyond 2000 is extremely high, and a virtual certainty. BUSINESS CYCLE REFERENCE DATES -periods of economic expansion- DURATION IN MONTHS:
March 1933 to May 1937 = 50 months
June 1938 to February 1945 = 80 months
October 1945 to November 1948 = 37 months
October 1949 to July 1953 = 45 months
May 1954 to August 1957 = 39 months
April 1958 to April 1960 = 28 months
February 1961 to December 1969 = 106 months
November 1970 to November 1973 = 36 months
March 1975 to January 1980 = 58 months
July 1980 to July 1981 = 12 months
November 1982 to July 1990 = 92 months
March 1991 to present (March 2000) = 125 months and counting.... (the economy still has some steam left -- we are now on the verge of a new U.S. and global recession. It's now official -- the longest peacetime expansion in US history.)
Average, all cycles: 1945-1991 (9 cycles)11 months (contractions) 50 months (expansions) Average, peacetime cycles 1945-1991 (7 cycles)11 months (contraction) 43 months (expansions)
Note: The business cycle of the 1990's can be divided into two periods: The first 4-year period from 1990-1994 was characterized by recession and high unemployment (even though it technically ended in 1991.) The 4-year period from 1994-1998 was one of expansion. The period from 2001-2002 will probably be one of contraction. Based on the four-year cycle, we can expect a contractionary period very soon.

Chapter 10: Sunspot Cycle

Although it may seem like quackery, there is a well-known correlation between weather patterns and drought that accompany the 11-year sunspot cycle. As well, human tension, excitability and a sharp economic recession often occur right at the peak in solar activity.
The following shows the sunspot cycle since the mid 1950's. Also note that periods of low solar activity are characterized by relative calm, stability, and economic growth. (Example, early 1960's, 1975-1979, 1984-1989, or 1994-2000)
Sunspot peak and recession...1957-1958 (also 1960)
Peak and recession............1969-1970
Peak and recession............1980 (also 1981-1982)
Peak and recession............1990-91
The sunspot peak is due in 2000-2001-2002, which is when recession will hit, and human tensions and excitability should also be high.
Many wars tend to accompany these times also (e.g., 1917 WW I, 1939 WW II, 1968-1970 Vietnam, 1979 Iran war, 1990-1991 Gulf war, 1999-?? Kosovo and Iraq conflict, then WWIII?).

Chapter 11: Global Economic Instability

"An unregulated global economy dominated by corporations that recognize money as their only value is inherently unstable, egregiously unequal, destructive of markets, democracy, and life, and is impoverishing humanity in real terms even as it enriches a few in financial terms." – Dr. David C. Korten

In order to understand the current global economic crisis we must look at the history of the past 30-50 years and how wealth inequality, world trade and debt relate and fit the big picture.
The U.S. of the past 50 years can be likened to the core of an empire -- in this case, a business empire. Peripheries of this American Empire in the post-WWII era would be Germany, Japan, parts of Europe, Asia and South America. At the rise of this empire (1945-early 1970's), the peripheral countries gather economic momentum which, as time goes by, accelerates at the expense of the core. These satellite nations become dependent on the empire to sell their goods, which in turn are traded for its currency ($US) which is then re-invested to produce even more goods for exports.
Fierce competition and proliferation of consumer goods from the satellite nations causes high-wage paying industries in the core to cut back as traditional industries (steel, autos) succumb to global pressures with losses of high-paying jobs. As the economy of the core transforms, lost jobs are then replaced with sub-standard, low-wage jobs (services). The loss of buying power of the now shrinking middle class grows and the poverty rate increases with each passing year. With a loss of real wages, disposable income declines and stagnates.
Expecting a constant rise in the standard of living, consumers begin to borrow on credit through credit cards, equity loans and extended car loans to maintain the status quo they've come to expect during the high. With productivity and real taxable income beginning to shrink, government spending continues to climb as before, creating cumulative deficits. This creates a demand for credit and debt which can only be met by the affluent, and most importantly, capital accumulated ($US) by the peripheries (e.g. Japan) from imbalanced trade deficits with the core. In other words, high demand for credit raises real interest rates in the debtor nation, thereby attracting surplus foreign capital. In effect, the core becomes an exporter of money as the peripheries export goods, the proceeds of which are used to finance American debt.
This cycle continues unabated until there is an extreme imbalance in the distribution in income and wealth, also fueled by misguided tax policies. Middle-class consumers, unwilling to reduce their expenditures to match their falling incomes, borrow more and more heavily, creating further transfer of wealth to the affluent in the form of interest payments. With so much capital in the hands of the few, it is socked away in speculative investments such as the stock markets, creating a bubble (1982 to present, especially 1995-on). As the bubble grows, it attracts more and more average people who would otherwise save. This then creates a "wealth effect," where people feel richer and correspondingly spend more, which keeps the bubble economy accelerating in the core of the empire.
Eventually the unfortunate bottom 80% become so indebted and over-extended their actual net worth becomes nothing, and the net savings rate becomes nil. Unable to borrow any further, spending becomes stretched as oversupply in durable goods permeates world markets. Satellite exporter countries, having an oversupply of capital and goods, begin to collapse in a deflationary spiral as the core can no longer absorb the glut. In the final stage of the empire, the core is able to hang on until the last minute even while its peripheries' bubble markets and economies burst. In this brave new world of unregulated currency flows, capital flees toward the core, further increasing the speculative bubble. This is where we stood in late 1998 with much of the world collapsing with Asia in deflationary crisis, Russia, Latin America and Brazil's financial system falling apart, and America holding on. The expansion continues even further, and stops the dominoes from falling further (witness stabilization after fall 1998) and aids a worldwide recovery.
Finally, the core of the empire becomes overextended and imbalanced, overloaded with debt at all levels. When the economy begins to slow, the structural weakness becomes evident as it enters a deflationary spiral. Burdened by a historically extreme credit bubble, it can no longer grow its economy with satellite surplus capital, increased debt loads (let alone service the existing debt), and effectively begins defaulting, with bubbles bursting, and consumers stop spending and begin saving again, further contributing to the collapse. The empire's core, unable to withstand the financial strain of collapse, comes crashing down, bringing the peripheries and much of the global economy and international division of labor with it.
Conclusion: The American Global Business Empire, based on many decades of unregulated laissez-faire capitalism -- actually ruled by crony capitalism and central banks -- is at risk of collapsing in a fashion similar to 1929-1933, even as the USSR communist empire within the coming years. We can pretty much be confident that our current socio-economic system will not survive its present form much longer, resulting in societal transformation, series of crises and conceivably, ultimately, WWIII.
Capitalism, the triumphant economic system of the last two hundred years, has efficiently produced the most affluent economies on earth. It tends to mirror the "strong survive" of nature and follows in rhythms and cycles of boom & bust. It has been transformed and modified throughout recent times to produce various forms of socialism and combinations thereof. We've seen the collapse of Communism and Fascism, and current-style socialism is on the wane. From the view of the1990's, it would seem that capitalism emerged the winner. Or is it ready to collapse as well?
Free market capitalism has it benefits and flaws. It tends to be dehumanizing, unstable, and destructive, and creates extreme wealth disparity when controls are absent. Most democracies have added social safety nets in the twentieth century (which are now being dismantled) to ease the suffering of those on the lower end, or controls on finance like the Federal Reserve or FDIC. Capitalism is not perfect, of course, and tends to result in imbalanced excesses which must be corrected through a severe economic decline such as a depression and market collapse.
The biggest challenge to capitalism was the 1930's Great Depression. While scholars still tend to disagree on the causes, it can be shown (as on this page) that long-term structural imbalances require a near (or total) collapse for a new order to be reborn from the old. Over time the degree of each depression becomes magnified and ratcheted up in intensity.
Let us move on to the more serious flaws of late 20^th-century capitalism and the destabilizing effect it creates.

Wealth Inequality

Disparity of wealth is natural in most economies and certainly in the U.S. There is nothing wrong with some owning more than others, and it is probably healthy for economic development and progress. However, in certain eras it becomes extreme and unhealthy as it fractures the social-economic landscape, Eventually (if allowed to continue) it will result in a revolution, or in the case of 1920's America, a depression.
The U.S. of 1920-1929 is strikingly similar to 1990-1999. In fact, disparity in wealth exceeds that of 1929. As well, the stock market is in a speculative bubble, consumer debt far exceeds 1929 levels, and economists are declaring the fundamentals "sound". What followed was an unprecedented depression which equalized financial wealth, paving the way for a long-term boom in productivity, affluence and a tide that "lifted all boats". From WWII to about 1973, wealth inequality remained stable, then widened sharply. Now the 1990's story mirrors that of 70 years ago, only worse.
The 1960 after-tax average pay for CEO's was 12 times that of the average worker. By 1974 it was 35 times. In 1995 it was 135 times. (That's the ratio of the top to the average, not to the bottom, and it only counts salaries, not perks or returns on investment. The world's 358 billionaires have a combined net worth equal to that of the bottom 45% of the world's population (over two billion people).

OWNERSHIP OF NET FINANCIAL WEALTH.

As a result, of the total financial wealth in U.S. households at the beginning of the '90s, the richest 1% of the households owned 48% of it, the next richest 19% owned 46% of it, and the bottom 80% owned 6% of it. (Source: Wolff, '95) Put another way, the top 20% own virtually all net wealth, with the top 1% owning more than the combined wealth of the bottom 90%.
At the same time as these trends grew, they were fueled by a reduction in the top marginal tax rate under the Reagan Administration in the 1980's. This was done under the noble but misguided policy of Supply-Side Economics. The theory was to put more money in the hand of the rich, which would then be invested in industry, thereby creating jobs for the poor in a "trickle-down" manner.
The eventual result was record speculation and corporate takeovers which the 1980's became famous for. This has, of course, continued well into the 1990's and is at an all-time high.

INCOME INEQUALITY

Average weekly earnings of nonsupervisory workers, total private industry, 1982 dollars:
1965 $290
1970 297
1973 315 (Peak)
1975 292
1976 297
1977 299
1978 301
1979 291
1980 274
1981 271
1982 267
1983 272
1984 274
1985 271
1986 271
1987 269
1988 266
1989 263
1990 259
1991 255
1992 255 (Nadir) While executive salaries skyrocketed:
Income Bracket Percent Increase
$20,000 - 50,000 44%
200,000 - 1 million 697
Over $1 million 2,184
Since household debt has risen at rates 70% faster than growth of the economy since the late 1960s when real median family incomes stopped rising, such suggests real equity and savings are not the driving force of economic size - - it is all debt-driven.
This is an indicator of how families try to maintain their apparent living standards and consumption ("keeping up with the Joneses" with no income growth to do so). They compensate for stagnant incomes by rapidly expanding credit -- credit cards and later the more dangerous form of credit for consumption being home equity loan financing of household consumption. At the same time that families face less Social Security/Medicare benefits when they retire (than their elders), many head toward their golden years more and more in debt with lower home equity (than their elders).
If the 1996 debt ratio had been the same as in the 1960s, then 1996 debt in dollars would have been $2.1 trillion less than it was. In other words, the 1996 household debt would have been $3.3 trillion - - not the $5.4 trillion that did occur.
This shows that the economy is more leveraged by household debt than ever before. And, households are even more at the mercy of credit availability and interest rates. So as families spend more and purchase on credit, they also save less. America used to save 10% of its income. This would enable extra capital to be used for investments by business. This capital is now supplied by foreigners. Consumers have reduced their savings rate dramatically, and according to the latest data, the rate is actually negative! The lowest in 70 years! Obviously this will not continue for very long.
How can interest rates be so relatively low in the U.S. when the household savings rate is effectively less than zero, and consumers spend like crazy? For one, the immense tax inflows of past years, a result of a booming economy (not the Clinton administration), have eliminated the federal government deficits that plagued us since the eighties and has offset this net savings shortfall, at least in terms of the national economy. Second, hundreds of billions of dollars have flowed in from overseas, the result of record-breaking U.S. trade deficits, filling the demand for savings. Thirdly, as previously mentioned, the stock market has lately replaced traditional vehicles of saving and has the effect of giving a misleading picture when one looks at the official data and charts; when the realized capital gains reported to the IRS are accounted for, we arrive at a household savings rate of around 10% ...where it has been historically.
This situation is dangerous and cannot and will not continue forever, and thus one can expect a volatile and disastrous environment in years ahead.
As recently as the Eighties the percentage of the populace owning stocks was 18%. It has now reached 50%. Apparently the sheeple now think stocks are risk-free and can never go down ... what a slap on the face they shall receive in a few months! This is why the household savings rate has been into negative territory the past couple of years: (a) the stock market significantly replaced traditional avenues of savings such as banks, and (b) consumers continue to vastly overspend, beyond the rise in incomes, fueled by an inflated stock and housing price boom via the wealth effect.
At some point consumers will retrench and begin saving again, as they always do in a recession, an action that would throw the economy into a tailspin. Investors will, by their actions and loss of confidence in the midst of a such a global recession, fly to the nations out of the U.S. Investors may flee to their home countries, thereby pulling out of what is currently the haven of quality and choice: America. Should this take place, markets would utterly collapse, the dollar would drop quite dramatically, resulting in galloping inflation in a nation that imports vast amounts of foreign goods.
This means that the boom we witnessed in the 1990's was fueled by consumers spending not only all disposable income, but going into debt in a spending binge the likes we have never before seen. This cannot and will not continue indefinitely. This also means the health of the economy has become dependent on sky-high stock market valuations and the wealth effect it creates. The money supply has grown astronomically in the nineties, particularly since 1994. Traditionally this has resulted in price inflation, but not this time, as it has instead gone into and fueled an asset inflation, or bubble in stocks and housing. Other countries -- Britain, Sweden and Japan in the eighties -- have also seen sharp slumps in net savings when they experienced asset-price bubbles in housing or stock markets. Their economies were later severely damaged when bursting asset prices caused savings to rebound to above-normal levels, to correct previous over-borrowing. Between 1989 and 1994, for instance, Britain's private net savings rate swung from minus 6% to plus 6% of GDP. Then what happened was obvious: a deep recession.
What's interesting is the fact that even in the past so-called economic boom, the personal bankruptcy rate was near record highs! Just imagine it in the future!

A Prophet's Distress

The following was written during the Kosovo conflict in 1999, with the Doomsday clock vision in mind:

This is one event the author deeply does not wish to occur, yet has the overwhelming sense it must. Every attempt to piece together a different future geo-political scenario, even using many-faceted angles, always seems to gravitate to this outcome.
Every attempt to deceive the mind against such deeply disturbing possibilities fails and invariably leads to the soberingly dark, gut-wrenching, quivering anvil positioned in the pit of the stomach.
Wishing it were simply some fantastic illusion of catastrophe that belongs in a tabloid, escapism suddenly seems the rational alternative to reality.
Instinctually sensing the manner and magnitude of what the human race will soon experience is a burden no human deserves. It is painful; distressing; agonizing.
How do they do it? Walk around, doing their jobs, living their lives in a daze, annoyed at seeming pettiness. Don't they know what's going to happen? I want to tell them. Perhaps they don't want to know; delusion is far less painful.
Watching the vehicles roar by. Pedestrians robotically contributing whatever their resident society demands of them.
Can they not see it?
Looking up at the sky. A magical blue interspersed with 3-D cotton clouds and contrails with golden rays of sunshine beaming across the horizon. Close my eyes and allow the sun's warmth to permeate the eyelids.
Sympathetically observing yet connected with these life-suppressed bodies seen moping to and fro, I compassionately connect almost in a state of suspended animation.
A tear appears, joined with a slight smile.
Always committed to the truth; it cannot be denied, but sometimes the truth hurts.
To much dismay, the pieces of the puzzle are now coming together. The casino-style slot machine reels spin as the values surely and methodically lock in place revealing their given values. The last few reels complete their final spin until the last one stops. The variables and odds suddenly become written in stone.
Morbidly gazing at the halted numbers in deathly silence, it is clear the grand solution to the quasi-mathematical puzzle has been unlocked and must now play itself out.
The name of this puzzle is sensed deep down but nevertheless elusive to billions, has now been solved.
That name of that puzzle is World War Three.

Chapter 12: World War Three

During the Cold War we faced the constant specter of nuclear annihilation. It may seem like a safer world now that the U.S.S.R. is history, but the opposite is true. Russia is disorganized and it has socially and economically collapsed, practically being run by the mafia. They are currently in a political crisis which may lead to another strong-arm dictatorship. It could be Putin who will strengthen through 2005, though there is someone who comes after him.
It is shockingly following the same path as 1920's Germany, which indicates a new form of nationalism could arise, forming a new military challenge to the U.S. Shortly after Yeltsin's resignation a new military doctrine was announced lowering the threshold for the first use of nuclear weapons and proclaiming Russia's intention to oppose American domination of the international system. The intention is to ...
"Actively oppose a unipolar world dominated by the United States as part of its effort to strengthen Russia's position not only in areas near its borders but also around the world and to be willing to use its military toward that end. According to the new doctrine, 'the level and scale of threats [to Russia] is growing,' and it is for that reason that Moscow must build up its military forces."
The post-cold war era is over.
NATO attacked Yugoslavia, provoking angry tensions from much of the world directed toward the U.S. On April 12, 1999, Russia formed an alliance with Yugoslavia illustrated during the Kosovo conflict, and is one of many steps on the road leading to a global war.
Russia has now moved into a New Axis (or alliance) with China, North Korea, the African Communist/socialist states, and the radical Islamic states of the Middle East. They are actively and aggressively preparing for war just as Germany and Japan did in the 1930s. Ex-Soviet nuclear material, knowledge and scientists are scattered around the globe. India and Pakistan recently set off underground nuclear tests in a show of arms. Shortly after, Russia formed an alliance with India (which went unnoticed by American reporters). North Korea is in the throes of famine and is nuclear armed.
Nuclear capable China is beginning to flex its muscles and has the largest manned army and Navy in the World. They will undoubtedly become a new powerhouse of the 21st century. NATO bombed its embassy in Yugoslavia. China currently is preparing for war, first with Taiwan, then along with a pact with Russia and other radical states, may go head to head with the U.S. in the coming years.
The massive $50 billion trade surpluses with America are going almost entirely into a military, weaponry build-up. Fourteen of its current 18 ICBMs are aimed at the west coast of America. Soon, thanks in part to the recent nuclear spy thefts, they will have hundreds -- then thousands.
Iraq and the Middle East are still (as always) on the edge, and could soon erupt into something quite severe as they suffer daily bombing. This global war, should it occur, will revolve around this region and will be tied into resources, namely oil and water. There are the usual religious and other issues such as Palestine, Islam and other territorial disputes. It can be expected for Russia and China at some point to intervene with the flow of oil to the West, provoking a crisis to which America, which is viewed as an imperialist bully, will have to respond.
The U.S. military has shrunk and may not be able to effectively conduct such a comprehensive, major war. Biological weapons are the new means of mass destruction, and they can be cooked up in a kitchen by any terrorist nation wanting to teach the 'Great Satan' a lesson.
World tensions and excitability will undoubtedly rise when the global economy enters a nosedive beyond 2000 and political tensions mount; it will take only a light trigger to set off a serious world conflict. At some point some will obviously take it as an opportunity to settle old grudges. It is in such an environment that nations rise up against one another. What will rogue nations have to lose in attacking their foes (or us) when millions of their own are dying of starvation and disease? WWIII is nearly inevitable whether it happens in 2004, 2006, 2012 or 2025. But we do have the power to prevent this from happening. According to the Howe & Strauss book, The Fourth Turning, based on generational cycles, we are due for an era of total war in the next 20 years or so.
It may be a necessary to endure a catastrophe so devastating so as to make us beat our swords into plowshares and say "Never Again." After such an event and societal re-construction, we then can start anew, ushering in a new global golden age. Maybe this is the long-awaited "Great Purification."

Prelude to WWIII: 1990's Russia VS 1920's Germany

We will never learn. History has a striking tendency to repeat itself over and over in regular cycles. While the details are never the same, the overall rhythms of social and national events recycle themselves in a pattern as predictable as the seasons.
Though the methods used to determine these cycles are open to different interpretations by social historians, a clear pattern emerges from the underlying forces showing eerie parallels to what we witnessed 70 years ago.
All indications say the situation in Russia will get worse before it gets better, at least to any significant degree. The current and ongoing chaos is certain to result in a tired people yearning for a new purpose and dictator-style nationalism in the coming years. Like 1920's Germany, it wishes to regain power and influence in the global theater. This would create a new paradigm in the global power structure and initiate a possible historically unprecedented global crisis. Should a situation emerge, it will be in conjunction with India and China, among others.
Russia also faces a loss of borders with native Russians forced to be ethnic foreigners in ex-Soviet satellites led by incompetent leaders. With the recent Kosovo crisis, an intense opposition to NATO and the U.S. has arisen. Since the end of the Cold War, Western policy toward Russia has been a textbook case on how to drive a people to Fascism. Almost everything we've done to Russia repeats what the foolish Western Allies did to Germany after WWI. That, plus the depression, put Hitler in power. Below are some chilling parallels between the two nations, which demonstrates what may lie ahead:

1990's Russia Follows 1920's Germany

From around the 1870's on, Germany felt the overwhelming "need" to keep its military modern and powerful due to insecurity and potential challenge from its European neighbors. While a relatively peaceful time, the tensions mounted, which ultimately led to the Great War known as WWI. Germany suffered a bitter defeat without really losing the battle; it was an unfinished war. It lost its status as a great power and was forced to succumb to the punishing Versailles Treaty.
Woodrow Wilson told the Germans in 1918 it wasn't the people he detested – it was their system. He also promised it would be a just peace. Under the resulting peace agreement, Germany lost land to Poland and millions of Germans suddenly became ethnic minorities in badly run countries where they were second-class citizens.
A country in shambles and without national purpose, Germany entered the Depression in the 1930's. Fed up with the Weimar Republic, it voted Hitler into power. Under a massive military buildup and strongly recovering economy, Germany was once again a powerhouse, and proud of it. It became, once again, a rejuvenated, conquering empire dwarfing the might of the Allies it had lost to some two decades previous. We all know what happened next.

1990's RUSSIA

Since the 1950's, the Soviet Union felt the "need" to build up its military as a challenge from the United States. This Cold War too was a relatively peaceful time, even while tensions remained high. It eventually "lost" this war by dissolving in 1991. But like Germany in 1919, it was an unfinished war.
We said to the Russians exactly what Wilson said about Germany: We don't have a problem with the Russian people; we just detested the Soviet system. We said the transition to a democratic, market economy would be best. After the hyperinflation of the early 1990's, market reforms were attempted. The result was a near total economic collapse in 1998, which they've been unable to pull out of. Living standards dropped, criminals flourished, and honest people starved.
Russia's gross national product is now close to five percent of the United States' GNP and going backward. It is in a meltdown situation. Who do they blame for their troubles? The U.S., Westerners and the free market reforms they perceive were imposed.
Seeing how this pattern is unfolding, is it not reasonable to expect a very high likelihood of a future situation resembling WWII? But this time there is much more firepower.

Chapter 13: Criticism from readers, and responses

Here are a few critical letters from readers received after an e-messages to subscribers on the Internet while writing this book. Sorry, but Daniel must at least attack some misconceptions, and the demanding of impossible expectations of "perfection", and they are many. It's not easy being a prophet/angel. Some of the topics deal with subjects discussed in later chapters, so consider it a precognitive insight into material to be read later.

One reader sent this:

"I have a real problem with economic and political analysis being made based largely on biblical interpretation. The Book of Revelation for example is so subject to multiple interpretation, with some writers saying it points to future events and other writers saying it has already been fulfilled in the past, that I wouldn't want to base any economic and political analysis on it. And I am tired of the gloom and doom typically due to such biblical analysis, plus the constant attempts to do date-setting on when some event is supposed to occur, whether it be the mark of the beast, Y2K computer crashes, world war 3, etc. I prefer to (and do) look more directly at what is going on in politics and the economy to analyze same." From "J"

Daniel's response:
J, your concerns are actually misconceived and not applicable to anything Daniel has said in the past; I actually agree with you whole-heartedly. You must remember at all times that I do not, have not, and will not base any "analysis" based strictly on the Bible, except that which has been unfilled. The vast majority of Biblical prophecy HAS been fulfilled, as is shown in Section 7.
The economic and strategic analyses and "prophecies" you read herein in this book are not based on the typical method popularized in recent times. You have never seen me attempt to link WWIII or Y2K or "mark of the beast" with Biblical prophecy, nor the economy in any way, particularly prior to 2000, while having utterly no knowledge of Biblical concepts.
This may come as a surprise to some, but the prophecies in Daniel and John's book of Revelation has been fulfilled as well – almost 2000 years ago. Daniel is not here to alert anyone of a "7-year tribulation," where an "Antichrist" and beast take over where the reconstruction of a Jewish temple takes place, with a Rapture, etc. And WWIII actually has NOTHING to with Biblical prophecy, although many believe it does. "666" and the "Beast/Antichrist" was actually the Roman emperor Nero before A.D. 70. They also experienced the "tribulation" prior to A.D. 70 and it was actually 3.5 years, not 7. You can read all about this in further chapters.
The insights Daniel has received in his 21^st-century return are actually NEW revelations, concerning Iraq, Fourth Turning etc. concerning the end of this age, and almost all of Biblical prophecy concerns the end of the last age, almost two millennia ago, which ended with the destruction of the Jewish temple. In a sense this is a continuation of scriptures and filling in of gaps which Daniel is here to inscribe.
The only thing that remains of Biblical prophecy is the END; a small handful of New Testament prophecies of the coming of the Son of Man. And a few sentences in Daniel 12. That's essentially it! The rest is history. Daniel has returned to witness this End – of the Age; the Church age, and the age of Pisces. The vision of the end has already been given to Daniel: The Day of the Lord; Second Advent; coming of the Son of Man. This is not tired old speculation, but REALITY issued by God to His servant Daniel.
But this has been determined not through Biblical studies and elaborate theories, as I was ignorant of all such concepts prior to 2000, but from actual, profound visions given to Daniel during the awakening happening now. I do not speculate regarding these matters, but have been given the objective bottom line. God would not send Daniel back to engage in such nonsensical trivia and mindless speculation; it is much too important from the perspective of an angel of God.
On date setting: I agree we should not firmly date set based on scriptures, especially the Second Coming. With one exception: when angelified Daniel actually receives from the Creator a date in which something is to occur, unless we manage to avert it. I do not know the date of the Second Coming, for example. It could be 2012. Or it could be 2018, or later. Neither I, nor any other human or angel, knows. But the purpose of prophecy at all times is to induce warning, in order to perhaps change the future. We indeed can alter the course of history and the doom-and-gloom future, at least to a certain degree. But remember that the dawn of new and glorious ages always involve birth pangs.
I am on your side with regard to the continual speculation that takes place with regard to this respect in terms of Biblical prophecy. But don't you think God would give Daniel an edge in visions regarding the future? For his return? Of course God would. Daniel's not here simply to witness and be left in the dark, but to take part.
I don't place ultimate authority on scriptures, but the fresh, divine visions received thus far – from God, my authority. And the prophetic visions since 1999 have in fact been coming true, 100%! More on this topic in Section 7.

Let's further expand from this letter from Charles,

"Well, if someone has to suffer, better you than me I guess (lol). I agree 100% with your views on religion and spirituality. However religion fills the social needs of people -- their need to belong to a group and to share the beliefs of the group. So anyone that seeks a more enlightened view of the world is going to travel a difficult path, the road less traveled, so to speak. Speaking of predictions about the economy, could you be a little more specific about what will happen and when it will happen? There are still quite a few of us that haven't overcome our baser needs yet. Thanks for your messages and your trials and tribulations on our behalf." Charles

Daniel's response.

I am here to suffer, and serve you all, and glad to.
The gate is narrow indeed, with respect to the road less traveled, for those seeking the highest level of spiritual growth, but more people must take the trek, if they ever wish to return to the higher realms.
Speaking of the economy, a further note indeed with regard to details.
Mike's letter raised this issue. There is no way under God's sun that He will allow Daniel to allow ALL details of the economy to be revealed in a divine, prophetic fashion. It's simply not relevant for the mission. If I were to attempt to speculate on minute "details," there would never be a chance in Heaven or Hell that I could ever be 100% correct, unless God gave this information. No human ever has been able to do so. Nor any Biblical prophet; they did not deal with such details, they were grander in vision, as is Daniel. Nor does any angel know all such details. Now, a general guideline? That I can give.
You see, my site began in early 1998 as an economic analysis site dealing with a rough outline of the future based on what I sensed from the original Doomsday Clock vision of 1997. I did not expect I would become the return of Daniel in the meantime. Yet it happened shortly before Y2K after I had been saying for quite some time it could be a potential disaster. The ignorant, unenlightened person under such circumstances would rashly dismiss me as a "false prophet" under such a circumstance. Yet those who understand what Biblical-style prophecy is really about would be calling Daniel the truest prophet on earth. For they understand that the most successful prophecy is NOT one that is fulfilled, but altered through warning and active intervention. The future is not written in stone; it is fluid and constantly changing, and all of have the power to change things, and are constantly doing so through our thoughts and actions. The outcome of Y2K was altered. We can change the prospect of WWIII as well.
The first of the "visions from God" happened just before the 1999 awakening and endowment of the Holy Spirit. It was of the outcome of the Y2K computer crisis; a dream indicating it to become a non-event. I had been warning otherwise on the site for more than a year at the time. But the divine vision came true, then God awakened me, as that was actually the unaware first portion of the mission: simply to issue a warning, details be damned. Do you understand? Well, many will not.
See, we must differentiate that which occurred before the awakening, and after. Everything that has occurred after has indeed been visions with a "100% accuracy rate" I suppose, however, that some people cannot ever perceive this, as they dwell in the bliss of ignorance and popular opinion.
The answer to the rough outline of the future of the economy is mentioned throughout this book.

The next absurd letter I received was very short:

"Who's going to win next years Super bowl? I'd like to place a large bet on it."

Daniel's response.

Again here is someone "asking for a sign," which is tied into Mike's and others' perceptions of a Biblical prophet and concerns ethical questions. It is ridiculous to respond to such a message. Ask an angel to pray to God for the outcome of ... a sports game, so we can all profit from it? Only an evil and adulterous generation would demand such a sign.
My words and deeds are sufficient proof of my identity, as the 100% accurate divine visions received thus far have been. Enough said.
After reading the above letters, understand now why Daniel would ask them to unsubscribe? It's a drain on energy. It really is. But always remember I've been aligned to truth, that's all that matters, but understand not all will ever accept this. I understand. I will never lie to you, nor ever be deluded. That's a promise made by Daniel to you in the name of God.

Chapter 14: Economic analysis of spring 2000 crashes, imminent recession

Long-time readers over the past three years on the Internet, since spring, 1998, will have remembered that the general thesis regarding the economic portion, long before I was awakened as Daniel, forecasted a future, but not imminent, recession, conceivably depression as properly defined, of historic degree at the end of the 90's bull market and bubble.
At the time, of course, it was mocked by many for being too pessimistic, especially considering the general euphoria of economic conditions at the time. The question of the economy's slide into oblivion was simply then a matter of determining its timing (roughly) and magnitude.
Ironically, I had stopped studying the economy and failed to publicly cover the long-expected economic collapse previously covered around early summer, 2000, just as financial and economic conditions began changing for the worse, spiraling out of control for the next six months, finally fulfilling all previous forecasts. Obviously this was due to becoming awakened as a prophet and transformed into an actual holy angel of God, and something of this degree dramatically alters the focus of attention, as it would for anyone.
Some have curiously pondered, "What do angels have to do with economics?" Note that I first began publicly writing merely as a typical person fascinated by how the world works, cause and effect and how everything fit together through various cycles, strategic events, the future and mass psychology. This naturally is what economics is about: attempting to understand these larger, interacting forces, and in a modern civilization this involves the study of conditions which can easily be measured with charts and numbers.
Finally, by spring 2001, the economy began its rapid descent, along with historic stock market losses, so it was necessary therefore to at least give a general outline and stance as to where the economy was hereafter traveling. This is a version sent out to subscribers in late March.
At the time of this analysis, March 23, 2001, sent out to hundreds of subscribers, the market had seriously declined over the past couple of weeks, fulfilling a prophetic hunch I received, and mentioned publicly on March 6th, 2001,

"The author has not studied the economy in any way since spring 2000, and was not covered except when divine revelations were received. This should occur shortly, before the book is completed. I have not even followed the news for months. Prophetically, I've strongly sensed something dramatic to happen for this spring. This is not yet known, but could be a market crash, or outbreak of military hostilities in the Middle East." (Listbot archive #108, March 6) (I had also mentioned something profound to occur during the significant period of Passover, April 14-24, during which time Daniel would be praying on a mountain top.)
As you can see, within only two weeks, the stock market underwent devastating declines, and by March 23 the Dow dropped from 10,800 to around 9,400. There also followed much violence in the Middle East, and it was also the same time as the incident regarding the American spy plane that collided with a Chinese jet, initiating a troublesome diplomatic situation.
In spring of 2000, at the height of bullishness in the tech-heavy NASDAQ, I proclaimed the imminence of a massive bear market in stocks, with the tech sectors to be particularly hard hit with the NASDAQ leading the way. Well, within a couple of months the markets crashed with historical losses, and one year later the NASDAQ had plummeted by a whopping 60% from its peak of around 5000, to 1900, making this one of the greatest bear markets of all time, ranking up there with the likes of 1929. This is a natural result of the greatest bull market of all time during the 1990's (properly termed "bubble.").
The spring 2000 Merrill Lynch tech index stood at 1000; spring 2001: 370.
The Morgan Stanley tech index peaked at 120 in spring 2000, tumbling to 20
one year later.
Obviously at the time of this writing the world had entered a widespread bear market, with the S&P 500 down 25% from peak and the Dow 20 percent or more from its record high of 11,722.98 on Jan. 14, 2000 (which Daniel had told everyone was the final top.) The Dow would have entered its first bear market since 1990 as it closed below 9,378.38. Globally, aggregate stocks in general were down 25% from the prior year.
But is this the end, a bottom? No, fasten your seat belts; there's more to come, although this may have been a short-term bottom.
Historically P/E levels for stocks in normal times range from 8 to 20 to one, and when exceeding 22, used to mean an imminent bear market. At the peak of the tech mania, the NASDAQ aggregate P/E stood at 75, even 245 at one point. Even after losing 60% of its value over one year, it still stands at a very overpriced 45 to one! Even the S&P 500, whose peak P/E was an historically unprecedented 35, in the midst of the spring 2001 bear market, remains very high at 25 to 1.
The psychological mood of the investing public prior to summer 2000 was that of many misguided people who thought that "this time it's different." Well, it was not different from any past manias, despite the supposed promise of ever-increasing potential riches in the much-touted "New Economy", which became a fad in a mad, greedy rush to get rich quick. Many did, but many more got poor very quickly.
Although the Internet and subsequent boom it helped fuel, and other recent innovations in tech sectors that have revolutionized the economy in past years will continue to grow around the world in coming years, the place where it all began, the U.S., is effectively near an initial saturation point with regard to such proliferation of PCs and other New Economy inventions. Since the late 1990's economic boom was significantly tied to such new technologies, the current and coming bust likewise revolves around excesses, for they have become intertwined; a New Economy recession will result from a New Economy boom.
Initially, when the mad rush to the Internet began several years ago, thousand and thousands of venture capitalists flooded the web scene, funding glitzy web start-ups with the deluded promise of never-ending riches due to e-commerce and banner ads. Yet only a couple of years later, it is these very businesses that suffered the greatest carnage. The majority of web businesses started with continual losses, which investors had faith to continue funding, all based on the HOPE that one day they would turn a profit. Well, by spring 2001, even the Internet blue-chip ventures such as Amazon.com are barely keeping afloat, on the brink of virtual bankruptcy.
And this was during a record economic boom! Imagine how bad the shakedown will be in the midst of a worldwide recession or depression, which as of this writing was imminent.
The main sectors of the Internet to benefit or be transformed by the Internet revolution will be financial services, entertainment, health care, education, information providers and government services. Until broadband technology improves radically and universally, the Internet will lag in its potential to rapidly explode in innovative uses and functionality. Some telecommunication sectors relating to such issues have the potential to be the next miracle growth winners. Look toward nanotechnology for the long term, for it will radically alter society, but we shall not see this for many years to come. Fuel cell technology is also the next best area of innovation.
Since summer of 2000 the U.S. economy had begun spiraling downward in virtually every conceivable way following repeated interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve, who went too far by raising rates a half percentage point in spring of 2000; these effects take about six to nine months before they work their way into the economy. That was the nail in the coffin, but not realized at the time.
By the time Greenspan saw the writing on the wall, it was too late. After sensing the deterioration of the economy, he then began reducing interest rates in a dramatic fashion in the first three months of 2001, three times for a total drop of 1.5 percent, to 5 percent, and more is on the way. However, the steep slide in conditions as we entered 2001 exceeds the ability of such remedies to prevent what nature had started; the dominion of mortal affairs ultimately rest with God.
If it hasn't already begun, a recession is a 100% certainty in the 2001/2002 time frame. With these skillful rate reductions, along with Bush's tax-cut proposal, should it be passed, though it would have to be much more aggressive than that currently proposed, we may be able to stop the slide into full-blown depression, which would last until 2004 in a worst-case scenario. The effects of the interest rate reductions will not take effect for about nine months, and in the meantime we would already be in recession, for the forces already underway are beyond the control of standard monetary policy and nitpicking fiscal remedies.
In a likely scenario, we will experience a very sharp but somewhat brief recession (which the media will over-blow in significance, creating a panic, cautionary mood in the minds of consumers) with anemic growth at best and recovery for a year or so with dismal stagnation, to be followed by another very sharp recession around 2004, which will certainly eliminate Bush's chances of re-election in 2004 to zero. ("It's the economy, stupid!") However, Daniel has sensed that the crises of that future time may be used and/ or manipulated by the Bush administration to encourage re-election hopes during a dramatic confrontation with Iraq.
Consumer sentiment has mirrored the rise and fall of the NASDAQ due to the wealth effect. In the last few months of 2000, consumer confidence and spending took a sustained and alarming nose-dive from a very high 140 to 100, and will
continue to fall as the stock market tanks, for they feed upon themselves. Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy's activity, and any drop in spending means a drop in economic activity.
Normally, traditionally, the prices of stocks bore a somewhat irrelevant relationship to activity in the economy, but now things are different: The household savings rate has approached zero (actually in negative territory) from the historic average of 6%, mostly because the public has effectively replaced traditional saving by plowing into the stock market. Historically the percentage of people invested in the stock market is 15 to 20%, but what has happened over the past decade was a dramatic (and dangerous) shift, where an unprecedented 50% are now stock owners, taking naive faith in stock ownership as a means of safe and guaranteed means of gains without significant risk. The dip in the savings rate has also been fueled by a massive increase in credit issuance to consumers, most of whom have never learned the lessons of a prolonged bear market or prevalence of risk management. The coming years will see many lessons learned by many people who joined the herd, and will be turned off stocks forever by the ravages of what may be the greatest bust of all time.
Household net worth actually declined in 2000, for the first time since 1955, the first year such records were recorded.
Weekly jobless claims since spring of 2000 steadily climbed, from 250,000 to 380,000 by the end of the year. The help wanted index also dropped precipitously during this time, to the level of 1994. GDP growth, after stunning gains for years hovering around 5%, slowed in the 3rd quarter of 2000 to 2%, and the fourth quarter to 1%.
Do not be surprised to see a negative growth rate for first quarter 2001, with the recession underway.
Where should the market lows be expected? As of this writing, we should see continued weakness in all stock markets, especially during spring, and the Dow should be near 7500-8500 by years end, although this is not a 100%, prophetic certainty. The NASDAQ still has a much further to drop, and will at least reach 1000 before the possibility of hitting bottom and attendant cyclical rebound occurs. But do not be surprised to see it dip to 500. Of course, there will always be short-term rallies to give the false impression of a bottom, but the longer-term cyclical trend is down for the next year or two. A significant decline can be expected around September through November, as well as spring 2002, which stands a good chance of becoming a major bottom.
We are about to enter the cold winter of economic calamity. Are you dressed warmly?

Chapter 15: Why I moved to Boise, Idaho: Safe haven

The following is an account of my personal relocation.
After living in two countries and five cities in as many states, Daniel moved in October 1998 to Boise, Idaho in anticipation of the potential, coming disasters he anticipated.
Originally born and raised in Canada, I fled south many years ago to southern Florida to enjoy sunshine and paradise in the Gulf Coast city of Fort Myers. It was a hollow paradise, as one might imagine: overcrowded, low wages, alarmingly high levels of crime and violence, and an almost nonexistent sense of community.
In 1996, in search of better pastures, I rounded up my belongings and drove west to Las Vegas, Nevada, for a brief one-month stay. Sin City was hardly appealing (besides, it's just too damn hot) so the drive continued to Seattle, Washington. It is a very nice city -- if you can tolerate the rain. There are many high-tech, high-wage jobs for those with skills and many homeless shelters for those without homes. Seattle has the best public transportation system I have seen, yet the most congested roads as well.
Being a West Coast city, it is a strange combination of uppity liberalism mixed with conservatism. Being of no particular political persuasion myself (That's right: I'm neither "right-wing" nor "left-wing" as I see major flaws and appeals in both sides and tend to be a combination of apathy, pragmatism -- "whatever works" -- and, perhaps, libertarianism. An angel is neutral, except to truth), it was a refreshing change from the hard-core Southern conservatism previously experienced.
The whole Seattle situation and its mindset became stale, promoting another move to its smaller brother down south: Portland, Oregon. Portland is a very pleasant city to live in. Its motto is "The city that works." Even more socialist-minded than Seattle (and a tacky form of socialism at that), it is a "people city." It tries to continually maintain and improve itself. Its climate is very mild: it rarely dips below freezing in winter. With all the rain it gets, it's not at all surprising it is called the "suicide capital of the U.S." Talk about a depressing place to live; if you want to be constantly in the doldrums, move to Portland!
After doing much research, observing the recent global crises unfold, and witnessing the vision of the Doomsday Clock, I began to sense by late 1997 that a major economic recession or even depression was looming on the horizon. Then after a few months of studying the Y2K computer bug and its implications, with all these other variables, I was convinced: the house of cards was coming down eventually, though not necessarily due to Y2K; I just initively KNEW something in the future, short or long term, would happen. Being a natural skeptic, it took awhile to become absolutely certain of this disaster's inevitability and magnitude. Once it had sunk in, I was compelled to become a "survivalist" (at least for a time).
The assumption that the food and essentials we all take for granted will always be available dissolved as I contemplated the vast complexities of our automated economy and how Y2K could bring it to a standstill. I knew any large city would become a hellish place in a hurry without power, water or sewage. However, I had already entertained the possibilities of moving to a small, safer area; this was merely the trigger. Being economically tied to Portland, I decided to prepare a site near the West Coast in the forest and began building a log cabin as a sanctuary to flee to and ride out any collapse, should it occur. I started stockpiling large amounts of food and supplies at this location as well. Unfortunately, in the summer of 1998, somebody found and stole the whole load of it. (Oh, well, at least someone has been well fed).
At this point I realized the ultra-survivalist approach, the type so often reported in the media, was simply not the way to go. The rational approach would be community awareness; your neighbors can make or break you in a crisis. However, 99% of members in most communities will not prepare, as shown by the lack of preparation by hurricane victims. Not many will listen to "those lunatics who say the sky is falling" and therefore make preparations. The dilemma I then faced was whether I should stay in the big city and risk getting caught up in a maelstrom of humanity -- 2.2 millions souls -- or, once again, move; besides, Daniel gets restless if residing in one place for too long.
Fortunate enough to be mobile, well experienced at moving and without any significant ties to Portland, I headed east to Boise, Idaho. So why is this region one of the best safe havens in the continental U.S.?

Community, Social Harmony

This ranks as one of the top reasons Boise and Idaho are so appealing. Crime is so low it seems almost nonexistent in this city of 150,000 (by far the safest I've seen compared to all the other cities I've lived in). Each year there are only two or three murders, and they are usually among transients (there aren't many homeless here either). One can actually walk the streets at night without fear. Even in a complete breakdown situation, it is very unlikely people would riot, loot and pillage. There are not even any ghetto sections in the city.
Unlike the majority of American cities, there exists a strong sense of community. Social cohesion, stability and harmony are dominant and can be partly linked to the fact that this is one of the most conservative states in the union with a strong presence of a church-going population with such sects as the Mormons residing here as well. (You know how they love storing food.)
Idahoans work together and help one another out. This is the hallmark of a solid community. For example, a few months after moving there, my car broke down near downtown at 12:30 A.M. My destination was a quarter-mile away so I decided to get in a "workout" and push it by hand the rest of the way. During this 20-minute, exhausting journey, 90% of passing cars stopped and asked if I needed help pushing it! (About nine drivers did so) This is highly unusual in modern America, and was a delightful experience. In Florida, or any other place for that matter, I would have been not merely ignored, but robbed!
There is a high respect for personal differences and individuality in Idaho, contrary to its ill-founded image as an intolerant, "hate-state," with Arian Nation's neo-Nazi residence up north in the Panhandle. Generally, people seem to be happy, content and friendly.

Geographically Isolated

In addition to being a small, undensely populated city, Boise is in the middle of nowhere. It is 500 miles from the nearest major metropolitan area (Seattle, Portland, Salt Lake City) with only small towns, desert and wilderness in between. With the exception of the Hanford storage facility in the state of Washington, there are no nuclear reactors nearby. The concern here is the potential for nuclear meltdowns in plants. There are also no significant military targets here. Aside from a standard National Guard unit, and small air force base, there are no (known) ICBM silos or anything strategic worth destroying should World War III occur.

Mild Climate, Geology

In the Boise river valley winter temperatures rarely go below 15 or 20 degrees F. in winter; uncomfortable, but tolerable with proper dress and minimal heating. The region is very arid, receiving only a few inches of rain per year, but is nestled next to vast, wet, forested mountains to the north that shed their moisture down south into the desert in the form of clear streams. Spring and fall are beautiful. Summer is somewhat hot, with temperatures hovering around 90 degrees, but won't kill you (it's a dry heat).
We don't have to worry about the extremes of Mother Nature in this region; there are no hurricanes, floods or tornadoes. The high desert sits in the intermontane region of the Rockies, well away from continental plates and major faults. There have been mild earthquakes in the past, but they are very rare. As far as critters go, there are many flies in the summer, but it beats mosquitoes.

Natural Resources, Food, Water

Surrounding Boise (a/k/a "Cowtown") are millions of acres of potatoes and livestock (beef, pork, chicken). As the experience of the Irish illustrated, one can be nutritionally sustained for extended periods on little more than milk and potatoes (heck, throw in a steak for good measure and you're set!)
As previously mentioned, it is arid here, but through gravity-fed irrigation dykes running off the mountain streams, agricultural irrigation needs are naturally met. The Northwest relies heavily on hydroelectric power (dams) to supply its energy needs. Unlike coal-powered plants, which require the railroad system to be functional, and nuclear power, with all its potential problems, hydropower is not at risk from supply-chain problems; it is "free" and renewable. There is also lumber -- lots of firewood as Idaho has the largest forest in the continental U.S.
Although I consciously thought the reason to move to Boise was simply its safe location, there came the ultimate reason: to be angelically awakened, as I found out later it is a gathering place for angels, and is conducive to spirituality. Moreover, God deems it necessary for Daniel to survive and be protected in order to witness his prophecies come to fruition at the end of the days.
Is this THE safest place to live? Maybe not, but it certainly ranks at the top. Will I ever move again? Can't seem to stay still, but it sure feels like home, like Jerusalem two and a half millennia ago ...

Chapter 17: A Peak Oil Scenario

The Peak Oil phenomenon – the peak of the entire planet's oil production – is very real. It is not something conjured up by fantasy freaks or doomsayers who have something to profit from it. It is instead based on overwhelming scientific data, evidence and conjecture and analysis by CONSERVATIVE geologists, physicists, knowledgeable investment bankers, etc.

It is an observable FACT, for instance, that the U.S. reached peak oil discoveries in the 1930's and domestic peak oil production by 1970 and has been declining ever since, and to this day production is 35% lower than in 1970. This is evidenced by our reliance on foriegn oil since roughly that time. Global production will also peak for reasons that are similarly scientifically based and logical, following a bell curve, very shortly. In fact, most oil-producing and exporting nations outside OPEC have peaked long ago, and their collective production is in terminal decline. In other words, there exists very little “spare capacity” remaining.

We consume six barrels of oil for every one we discover. In fact, global discovery rates peaked in the 1960s. There is only a certain amount of oil in the ground, and we now have a pretty good idea of how much is "cheap" or economically scalable and producible oil at prices which will make oil-dependent, industrialized nations function smoothly, and with expected growth in GDP.

These are facts, not personal opinion or blind speculation.

Production of any oil well, field or country, and collectively the globe, follows a bell curve ... always has, always will. Once the easy-to-get oil and cheap oil is extracted, about 50%, then it becomes increasingly more difficult and expensive to extract the remaining. Production declines steadily, and the remaining becomes more difficult and expensive per barrel to extract.

Peak oil is not a new concept; it has been around since 1956, when M.K. Hubbert published his famous bell curve on discovery and production rates for the years ahead. He was derided at the time as a pessimist and doomsayer, yet he was right on target. U.S. production peaked, then declined, from 1970 onward, year by year, every year.

The vast majority of oil on the planet has long since been discovered, and we are pumping oil from these global reservoirs at a rate of 84 million barrels per day. Production has been meeting demand for all these years, and at a cheap price – in fact, so cheap it is was the next best thing to free energy. An entire, never-before-seen affluent society emerged. It also is but a BLIP in the long march of history – a temporary aberration. It is not the beginning of some centuries-long ultra-prosperous society, where “flying cars” are used by the populace, and we colonize Mars, etc.

In the near future it will no longer be possible for production to meet global demand. Global demand is expected to grow to 120 million barrels per day by 2025, thanks to increasing U.S., Chinese and Indian appetites for this precious commodity. Yet production will never rise above 90 million barrels per day. In fact, 84 million barrels per day may be the maximum, meaning we are essentially AT PEAK as I write this.

Peak oil is near, if not already here. The implications of an unbridgeable gap between supply and demand are extreme, and imminent.

The best, educated guesses, using scientific estimates and analysis by many engaged in full time Peak Oil study, based on known reserves, and using basic math of how much oil has been extracted and burned since the first wells were drilled (almost one trillion barrels) project the peak as imminent, around 2012 or so, while a few say a peak-like plateau began around 2000, as evidenced by the price of oil having risen several hundred percent in price since that time. Also, as I write this oil reached $145 a barrel a few years ago, and is still quite high, due to OPEC "supply problems," in other words, with production running at maximum, with demand worldwide continuing to increase. Is it actual Peak Oil, or another false date? What matters is not the exact timing, but the reality of Peak Oil. We can speculate until we are blue in the face, but nobody, not even this angel, knows the exact date of peak, then decline, though it is obvious that it is "soon."

We are in a remarkably similar situation to the Y2K computer bug scare in the early days of the Internet, 1997. That was the "good old days" of the Internet. That was also before the age of spam. This was an issue that was almost entirely debated and studied on this newfound medium. While there were many unknown variables as to the seriousness of the problem, many were convinced that this could or would be a societal disaster if not taken seriously, and the worst-case scenarios featured a shutdown of the power grid due to the embedded chip problem. The issue was SIMULTANEITY of potential breakdowns, cascading upon each other. But again, no one knew the reality of what we would face at the 2000 rollover. At the time, the macro-implications were not well understood, but those who studied the problem in depth came to the conclusion that it would at least cause widespread disruptions and a recession. At first it was ridiculed, then violently attacked, then held to be self-evident; then it was SOLVED.

In 1997 and 1998 (when I first began writing publicly and covering Y2K) there was widespread denial and wishful thinking as to what we faced when the computers rolled over to 00. This was the first time in history we had an accurate date for a POTENTIAL crisis. Many of the most popular doomsayers and alarmists and pessimistic programmers were giving dire assessments. But most people laughed at the concept and anyone who would dare say we were facing a serious problem. My website provided a dire but well-presented argument for a potential collapse, based on the best and most respected "evidence" we at the time possessed. The evidence seemed to be overwhelming. However, it turned out that many of these gurus and programmers were left flabbergasted that virtually NOTHING happened at the rollover: no bank runs, no recession, and no power failures. Many of these Y2K experts and gurus were then derided and ridiculed and written off, and fell from the public radarscope, tail between legs, never to be heard from again.

Many who studied the scope and complexity of the problem still look back at those days, disillusioned or flabbergasted that nothing happened. The vast majority of the population never actually took Y2K seriously, (that dang "YK" thang!) even when it increasingly made headlines and lengthy articles in the mainstream press, such as Time and Newsweek and the Wall Street Journal. Some still resent the fact that they invested for a stock market collapse by 1999, or in gold, or stored food and water against seemingly certain disruptions. Some still ask themselves, was it all just hype by profit-meisters about a non-serious problem, or was it also due to the fact that Government and corporations finally took the threat seriously, and threw money at it (an estimated half a trillion dollars worldwide)? It was probably a combination; not quite as serious as first thought, AND that the dire warnings were heeded. It is my contention, however, that those who prepared at the time, will have to continue preparing at some future time, and should continue preparing, getting out of the stock market, and debt, and becoming as self-reliant as possible.

I was an embryonic prophet at the time, and embryonic angel. Little did I realize I was engaging in classic prophecy in the truest sense of the word: ISSUING WARNING AND STATING THE OBVIOUS! Yet consciously I was just another schmuck who made it a full-time obsession. True prophecy is about issuing a warning to people who will listen, and also intended for political and economic leaders. The Y2K computer scare was therefore merely a trial run for my becoming a full-fledged prophet of the Most High. Now, I did have a visionary dream of Y2K in July 1999 which I made public at the time to 700 subscribers and on the website which indicated the rollover would come and go with no problems. However I did not realize I would soon be awakened as a messenger angel, and I, as well as my readers, did not take the dream seriously. After all, who would actually take someone's dream as literal, prophetic truth? At roughly the same time I became disillusioned and stopped saying Y2K was a serious threat, and said so publicly, yet I remained firm in my view and conviction of potential economic collapse and stock market collapse, along with World War III, which I intuitively knew was coming in the distant future. At the time, in the pre 9/11 peace of the late 90's, I was derided for writing about a coming global war, and to be honest I did not know the exact trigger or details. I continued with economic warnings of a market collapse and imminent recession and WWIII. I am a Taurus, remember? Stubborn as a bull. The sun never sets on Daniel!

"Daniel, come on, why do you keep bringing up Y2K? That was more than 10 long years ago! Quit living in the past!"

Because most of my subscribers followed my site and subscribed during 1998 and 1999, and most were well informed about the Y2K computer threat's potential to severely disrupt our fragile, modern, industrialized, interdependent and computerized civilization. The fact that we live in a fragile, overly complex society never changed. And the warning of the fiat-money-based house-of-cards debt and bubble-based economy, which has shifted to real estate in the past few years, stands firm. We will suffer in the coming years to a degree presently perceived as unimaginable.

At the rollover of 2000 I had 800 subscribers, and the website received a respectable 150,000 hits since March 1998, until the rollover. This number has catastrophically dwindled since that time to 50 hits per day and many of these subscribers unsubscribed shortly after I revealed publicly what had happened to me, namely that the author had ascended to human angelification, and become a full-blown messenger and prophet; the e-newsletter subscriber number as of 2005, 7 years after first writing publicly, has dropped to 450, or about 350 after "email rot" is accounted for. This happened after I revealed the angelic awakening on January 20th, 2000. By then Y2K had come and gone, and what I had to thereafter reveal made hundreds of subscribers roll their eyes in disbelief. Despite my prophecies thereafter coming to pass with an accuracy rate similar to Biblical prophecy (if you even believe in prophecy), with the 2000 stock collapse predicted, and the 2001 recession accurately forecasted, as well as the global war which came with a 9/11/2001 trigger, as well as the Bush presidency and Iraq war predicted well in advance, the concept of an incarnate angel of God thereafter placed me into the "fringe" category. All that I've been prophesying since these early days, although once considered too far "out there" to take seriously, is now (and will be) mainstream. (Again I'm giving you a brief history, since many of you will forget, yet the Y2K situation is still fresh in my mind, more than 10 years later, for relevant reasons to the coming Peak Oil crisis, as I shall explain.)

During 1998 and 1999 there was no religious material whatsoever on the website, or Biblical prophecy or topics I once considered "out there" such as aliens or conspiracy theories. Instead, the site was my best efforts at an attempt to reach the mainstream, though it never made the Wall Street Journal, Time or Barrons. At the time I was an agnostic with atheistic leanings. I don't blame so many people from leaving me after my revealing to them that I was an angel, because I TOO would have unsubscribed and called such a person a nut case! There was a time when I wrote articles for www.gold-eagle.com for gold-bugs and those interested in the Y2K scare. Now, however, they will not even attempt to publish any of my material, because it comes from "a self-proclaimed incarnate angel and modern prophet." Unlike Biblical times when a divine prophet may have been taken seriously, this is the 21st century; most are not prepared for a true, modern prophet with divine backing.

You would think a true prophet would be taken seriously, but it doesn't work that way. This very fact will keep me on the "fringes" and probably out of any best-seller list when the final edition of my book is published, and I refuse to "alter the story" as one publisher recommended. For crying out loud, this is basically scripture quality, in total message! "Change the story" huh? NOT!

Remember, there was a time when the Y2K gurus visited the site, including Ed Yardeni, who I had email contact with, Gary North, who was the ultimate doomsayer, with a mammoth website, Ed Yourdon, computer programmer and author, as well as senators Robert Bennet (Utah) and Chris Dodd (Connecticut), not to mention many reporters who took my message seriously and were able to spread the word through their newspapers. Many still visit my site to see what message an angel of God has to reveal. It is always truth.

"Oh, come on, Daniel, you are resting on your laurels, based on an event which never happened! Y2K is something we all want to forget!"

The good news is that a good percentage have stood with me from the beginning, through the trials and tribulations, persecution, ridicule, glory, ups and downs, new divine revelations, etc.

Some will take seriously the Biblical injunctions that imply to take a prophet very seriously and heed his warnings. Those who disregard these warnings, visions and insights are not to be condemned, and I even invited them to unsubscribe or burn the book. It is perfectly understandable that so many did so. But more than half stayed with me.

How many of you, including mainstream politicians and economists and investors, are going to take a "self-proclaimed prophet" seriously, especially one who claims to have had visible wings? Until revealing to you the fact that I had visible wings for all to see, which I have documented as accurately as possible, it is my guess that virtually all of you had never heard of the angelic ascension of a mortal, as happened to me. In fact, it is truly extremely rare. Or the concocted story of a deluded nut case!

The reason prophets of old had such a remarkable accuracy rate in their prophecies (such as the destruction of Jerusalem and Israel of old) is because everyone viewed them as crazy, did NOT listen to them, considered them a nuisance, and ultimately killed them. Those that listened to Jesus' supposed warnings to vacate Jerusalem when the sign that Jerusalem would be "surrounded by armies" and destroyed were few and far between. They had to have FAITH in Jesus before they could take his word for it. It was the same thing with Jeremiah and other prophets who said, "Thus saith the Lord, 'I will utterly sweep everything off the face of the planet,'" before the Babylonian captivity. Jesus did not impress everyone with a Ph.D. or his social standing. His followers had pure faith and trust in his divine message.

Unlike prophets of old, who merely said "thus saith the Lord," I give other, complimentary reasons to believe the messages and warnings and conclusions I publicly proclaim. I don't seriously expect any of you to take heed of my warnings if I merely say "thus saith the Lord" or make public a dire vision or "dream," even though it is made by an incarnate angel. I do not base any of my modern prophecies on the Bible, or give false hope of a divine "rapture."

Rather, in the case of Y2K, I have backed up seemingly unbelievable conclusions with logic, current affairs, and second and third opinions by respected truth-seeking programmers, economists, analysts or scientists. Yes, Y2K turned out to be a non-event in the end, and those who are not enlightened to the nature of true prophecy will likewise NOT understand the lessons and meaning behind this pre-2000 situation. Most who studied Y2K did not "panic" or do much to prepare, even if they were convinced there was to be a societal collapse. Some stored food and water and other supplies, but only a few months’ worth. A few sold everything, moved to a survivalist or safe location complete with a farmhouse with solar panels and mules, waiting for what they thought was a sure societal collapse. It is my contention that those who took the "safe location" or survivalist route were those who already had survivalist leanings. The Y2K scare was just a trigger to get them off their duff and take action. It was a fearful time for many, and at times I even scared myself silly with my own writings. As an incarnate angel I no longer am afraid, as I've conquered fear, including that of a societal collapse, and the prospect of death by starvation.

This time we have another dire situation approaching, and the similarity to events and consequences preceding Y2K are strikingly similar.

It is global Peak Oil. The prophetic conclusion is nothing short of the end of civilization as we know it. Not 100 or 60 or 40 years from now, but shortly, and certainly within THIS generation.

To most of you this is a new concept, as it was when first learning of Y2K on the Internet. Here are the similarities between Y2K and Peak Oil:

1) Widespread denial and delusion to the (seemingly) simple problem.

2) Mass wishful thinking as to the solutions (alternatives).

3) Pollyanna "experts," politicians and "flat-earth" economists who dismissed Y2K and now Peak Oil.

4) A scientifically and logically based and imminent societal and global crisis, with a rough time-frame as to when said crisis will manifest.

5) Mainstream still in the dark.

6) Pessimistic doomsayers and survivalists aware of the impending crisis, and beginning to prepare.

7) Lack of political and community preparation, because lack of macro, viable "solution" to said crisis, or "faith" that the free market or alternative solutions will "come to the rescue."

8) Consensus of the "in-the-know experts" and gurus that we are facing a sure collapse and or/massive societal disruption and transformation, with no macro solution, "it's too late.”

Again, I expect 0% of my readers and subscribers to actually take my divine visions, such as Starburst 2020 seriously enough to actually take action, or absorb and come to grips with them emotionally. Chances are most of you will say, "Wow, interesting, maybe he'll be wrong. Let's wait 10 years and see; I will not take it seriously." Like Rodney Dangerfield, "I get no respect!" If you do take action, then I commend your faith! You will be doing what very few did with the Hebrew prophets of old.

Instead, because most of my readers have lived through Y2K, you will naturally have the initial inclination to take the "reality" and threat of Peak Oil with CAUTION. After all, "why prepare AGAIN for something that may turn out to be a dud? Maybe the doomsayers are wrong!"

Some of you felt duped by Y2K, and are leery of taking seriously anyone who says "doomsday" from now on, especially since people have been saying we will "run out of oil soon," ever since the first U.S. oil well was drilled. Oil is not going to run out; instead we will run into a peak and decline in global production, and it is fairly simple and straightforward to "predict” this. In fact, the evidence is so plain a third grader can figure it out! It's not complex algebra or trigonometry. SO simple in fact, that it is overlooked or brushed off by MOST people. It can't be that simple, can it? Yes, supply and demand, production, supply and consumption. It doesn't take a Ph.D. in history or economics or political science to realize that cheap, abundant oil is the life-blood of virtually every aspect of modern civilization. Without it, society will come to an immediate halt. With a 10-15% reduction in supply (production) the economy will be crippled, and prices will skyrocket. It only took a 5% reduction is supply to quadruple oil prices in the early 70's, causing an immediate and massive U.S. recession, "stagflation," shortages and lineups at the pump. Although this was before my time, many of my readers will remember the oil shortages and resultant economic dislocations. Now, it may only be speculation, but a drop of only about 20% may be sufficient to END civilization as we know it.

Luckily, the 70's shocks were temporary. What happens, then, when global oil production declines 3 to 5% per year, FOREVER? Again, it doesn't take the IQ of an Einstein or a rocket scientist or the wisdom of an incarnate angel to realize the magnitude and rough scenarios we can piece together, based on nothing more than logic, common sense, a sense of history, and a high-school level education or knowledge in economics, the market and human nature. Not everyone is even aware of the rudimentary knowledge of Peak Oil, but it is my hope I can at least educate you in the basics, which anyone with an average intelligence, open mind and a little skepticism can grasp. Yet, amazingly, due to various reasons, Peak Oil is NOT yet mainstream, or is dismissed as doom-saying and survivalist/conspiracy theory, fringe, Art Bell-type of a topic, not worthy of discussion. I'm telling you that in the coming years Peak Oil interest will skyrocket. It's the next "new" big thing. It's only a matter of time until it hits the mainstream. Also, like in the Y2K era, those in authority in the mainstream press and politicians in a sense CANNOT come forward with the facts and reality we face, as it would "panic" the public and financial markets.

Indeed, it is the very beginning of the end of modern civilization, and there are NO solutions, beyond limited personal and small community preparation, and futures speculators wishing to get "rich" in the initial (and never to decline) spike in "sweet crude oil." The first wave of speculators and wise investors are already convinced that stocks will no longer do well, because we are entering a two-decade-long move to commodities, precious metals (for some) symbolized by scarce resources, and global economic competition for oil. This is World War Three, a global fight for dwindling resources. I have been saying this since 1998. No one took me seriously at the time ... well, we are in the early stages of this global, yet unpredictable, war. The chess pieces are being moved as we speak. Moreover, the wise "trend-setters" or contrarians to the still-hyped stock market/mutual fund markets recognize it is in decline, and as many surmise, FOREVER. Never again will the Dow Jones Industrial Average reach its all-time high of 11,700, unless there is massive inflation, and total collapse in the U.S. dollar, in which case Dow 11,700 will be worthless in real terms.

It has been ten or more years since Y2K. You are older and wiser. Consider the Y2K scare and preparation as a learning lesson and precursor to the real "main event." If you were a Y2K-knowledgeable preparer, and had the urge to evangelize the message, began a "Cassandra project" of community awareness, or spread the word as to the seriousness of Y2K, you faced many hurdles, denial, wishful thinking, that something so simple was so serious, and that so few took it seriously. It's time to dust off those skills you learned once again. Or, if you are new to my book, this will be a new endeavor to you. Once educated, you may have the urge to "tell the world!" Some will become depressed that no one takes their preaching "about this oil doom" seriously, and many will unfortunately remain in denial, until gasoline, reaches $10 per gallon, which it will in due time, and it will become necessary to retrofit the entire nation's gas pumps to read beyond $10 a gallon. Like Y2K! They are missing an abundance of an extra "0!" HAHA. By the time gas reaches $10 a gallon, in real, 2010 dollars, the economy will have collapsed, and the gas companies will be crippled. Where will they come up with the capital to replace the entire nation's otherwise perfectly good pumps? It will be interesting to see.

I hope the Y2K scare and your knowledge of the issue gave you thick skin and lessons learned as to what happens when you attempt to "enlighten" your friends, family, and neighbors to an imminent and serious (but new and unknown) problem where awareness and collective action and community preparation are important. This is why many took the survivalist route during Y2K: they knew that,

A) no one but a few would ever take the problem seriously enough, including loved ones; therefore they needed to go it alone and "get out of Dodge City," or

B) knowing that your neighbors can make or break you in a crisis, engaged in alarmist scare-mongering with the hopes that someone would actually listen and prepare. During Y2K there were many successful community preparation plans started by many local neighborhoods, including police and fire departments, and largely out of public view. The U.S. military was also prepared for potential disruptions. By the time the survivalists had prepared, and those who were going to "withdraw their money from the bank" already did so, it seemed that government and corporations had solved the bulk of the problem by throwing money and programmers at it. By about April of 1999 interest in Y2K had dropped off, and people stopped preparing; they listened to the overwhelming good news that the "Y2K bug was squashed." Y2K was a REAL and serious problem, with real solutions. Peak Oil, on the other hand, has no real, economically viable or collective solution, at a MACRO level. It's now, "strategically place the chess pieces, lock and load." (Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.)

As the opening paragraph to http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net sensationally proclaims:

Dear Reader,

Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult, apocalypse Bible prophecy sect, or conspiracy theory society. Rather, it is the scientific conclusion of the best paid, most widely respected geologists, physicists, and investment bankers in the world. These are rational, professional, conservative individuals who are absolutely terrified by a phenomenon known as global "Peak Oil."

Peak oil is not really new to me. It is something at a young age I "knew" was to occur in my lifetime but not, in the early 90's, "imminent." I had not written about it publicly until 2005, because it didn't seem like an immediate problem to worry about. Most people, while acknowledging it is a serious and approaching problem, assume that it is something in the long and distant future, something their children or grandchildren will one day have to “deal with.” However, I'm telling you that the issue is one of great concern for you and your community's and nation's well-being, and that we are not getting the truth from the mainstream as to the magnitude, lack of viable "solutions" at a macro level (martial law is their solution), and imminence of the crisis. It may be sensationalistic to say that modern civilization is on the verge of total collapse, financially, economically, historically, nationally and internationally. Yet these are the prophetic warnings I make boldly, but if it were just me saying it, then no one would listen. I've studied – with concentration, objectively, and absorbing as many facts as my angelic brain could discern – the recent developments of the "bell curve" on oil depletion for the first time since my fateful thesis on resource depletion back in high school.

In fact, in World Issues 300, which I elected when returning to high school in 1992, and received the highest score in the class at the end of the year, I wrote a lengthy thesis based on the global depletion of resources, and that in roughly a generation, the "party would be over" for modern civilization. So in a sense I was a doomsaying prophet since high school age. But I never said or felt that it was "imminent," just inevitable; after all, industrial society is based on finite oil and resources, and at the time I intuitively "knew" we had it too good for our own good, and that our "modern" society, when one looked at the BIG picture and long term, was merely to be a blip – a hiccup in the long course of history.

But for years this topic left my mind until recently, when I began researching the issue, objectively, with hopes of coming to the truth: was it really imminent, what was the evidence and scientific facts, how did it fit in with my newfound identity as a prophet, and how did it relate to visions thus far received? What were the "alternatives to oil?" Is any real solution available? Or is the total collapse of civilization imminent and inevitable, including the inevitable collapse of the modern division of labor and electrical power grid?

I was able to bypass the initial denial that seizes many new to the subject. I never had to be kicked in the butt and shocked into the reality that the media, flat-earth economists, and politicians in glossed-over sound bites were promising "new" discoveries, nor did I have faith in the "invisible hand" of the market or technology coming to the rescue in the nick of time for us to ride happily into this "promised land" of a new era of low pollution, efficiency and never-ending growth! Conservation!

However, because I could never be fooled into such delusions, even in 1992 as a high school student, it seems that MOST who come across Peak Oil for the first time are psychologically brainwashed emotionally and intellectually that a crash will be averted, alternatives, technology and good old "American Ingenuity" and a slew of "don't worry, be happy" solutions by scientists and government will be implemented: after all "they" (whoever "they" means) know what they are doing. It is beyond the scope of the book to discuss, in depth, the reality of the so-called alternatives to oil. But it is remarkable the lengths so many are willing to go through to EMOTIONALLY delude themselves into believing, however improbably, indeed, impossibly, that oil will ever be "replaced" on the scale required to keep our 30-billion-barrel-per-year global economy functioning, let alone "growing" as in the era of cheap oil.

We live in the last stage of an era of materialistic, utopian fantasy. Faith in the intelligent, rational scientist has been taken over as the "god" of the modern age. Many have FAITH, not in a Creator, but in technology to solve all problems. And the Fed chairman will solve all economic problems.

Instead of dealing with myth and hyperbole, wishful thinking, etc. I'm giving you cold, hard facts. It is beyond the scope of my book to give all the reasons why there is absolutely NO mass alternative to cheap oil at a MACRO level (or even expensive oil, for that matter), PERIOD. The following are sometimes touted as "promising" alternatives, to oil; note that ALL they can only provide is a minuscule fraction of what our global economy requires to function and grow, and while many of these will indeed be "growth" industries and technologies as prices for oil rise as Peak is reached, there is no energy product on earth that can match the energy density, cost, portability, versatility, or infrastructure incorporation of oil, ever. Even massive research, implementation, and mass production of a combination of all these "new" alternatives to a maximum degree that is politically, technologically, and economically possible, even extremely optimistically, along with massive new drilling and exploratory searches for new fields, and running existing fields, would only soften the impact of Peak Oil, or delay it a measly two years or so. Any way you look at it, we are faced with a destiny of industrial society collapse that will make the Great Depression look like the "good old days." If you are in doubt about the logistics, economics and technological viability to these "alternatives," you can listen to utopian wishful thinking, or you can get the facts. See this page: http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/AlternativesToOil.html. Please read and kill your denial and wishful thinking.

If you are old enough to remember the oil shocks of the 70's, you will remember the numerous books and warnings of pessimistic doomsayers that we were on the verge of oil depletion. For example, there were the infamous "Club of Rome" conclusions that showed many bell curves on energy and resource depletion, population growth and modern society. While many of their conclusions and data seemed attractive in the grim 70's, the 80's and 90's came and went, oil prices collapsed, and the attitudes of the early, mid and late 90's mirrored the peaceful and very prosperous boom and bubble, this time with technology being integrated into corporations and government, and Silicon Valley making overnight multimillionaires in the dot-com bubble. The doomsayers were ignored as the stock market multiplied; oil and gold remained low. Many at the time were predicting Dow 100,000, and a "New Economy" driven by innovation and computer technology. The Clinton Administration was projecting never-ending budget surpluses as far as the eye could see. This was all foolish, of course, as the stock market tanked beginning in 2000, with the NASDAQ bubble taking the lead. Surpluses turned to record budget deficits. The terrorist attacks created a new paradigm, in that even though they killed fewer than 3000 people (minuscule), they awoke the great bear of the United States. Soon the U.S. military was on the move in the newly declared (and never-ending) "war on terror" which in slight conspiracy-theory style, was actually a new and global movement to strategically position itself where oil was not yet in terminal decline: the Middle East.

They, of course, will never say directly it is for oil; instead the public word is to "liberate" and spread democracy in a war against tyranny. And the public buys it, hook, line and sinker! There are two types of media: 1) one for the gullible and impressionable "sheeple" and, 2) the other "alternatives," such as analysts and blogs and opinions on the Internet.

This pessimism of the 1970's and the warning of the "limits to growth" WAS based on scientific reality and commonsense logic in that it was to occur EVENTUALLY, but those doomsayers and doom-and-gloomers of the 1970's were wrong at the time because they based their conclusions on emotion, the politics and fear of the time, and NOT on the true SCIENTIFIC reality of "known reserves," geologic reality, oil depletion rates, production rates and future demand, as well as new and improved drilling techniques, and a drop in demand due to major conservation efforts and industry-wide efficiency efforts, as well as improved recovery due to some impressive technological breakthroughs in the industry in the 80's.

For the above reasons many people nowadays dismiss those has-beens. "We've heard it all before! Begone, O doomsayer!"

Even within the Peak Oil community there are many who have cried "wolf" and given premature estimates on the TIMING of when Peak Oil would be reached. It should be noted that Peak Oil is a very solid reality, not theory. It has been PROVEN over and over again, and MOST countries outside of a handful of Middle Eastern countries are in terminal decline, as GLOBAL oil will be in unavoidable decline in production in the coming few short years. This is a fact you must accept and come to grips with; again this is not opinion, but basic math based on the best available (untainted and unexaggerated) proven reserves, total amount produced thus far since oil production and consumption began, and quantity remaining.

Again, nothing will ever replace oil on a large scale, and this includes the hyped promising oil shale and tar sands of North America, drilling in the ANWAR or North Sea, Gulf of Mexico, Caspian Sea, or increased exports from Russia. This increased supply that undoubtedly will be tapped to the maximum degree possible when oil reaches $200 a barrel will do nothing more than make a minuscule dent in the big picture.

Even though I was only a teen in the early 80's, I remember the newfound optimism of Reagan's "morning in America" piped into my Canadian TV set, and I personally absorbed everything American. (I've lived in the U.S. since 1995 and never turned back.) The oil crises were still fresh in everybody's mind, and a few predicted an extrapolation based on fears and trends of the time. This is typical for those caught up into short-term societal trends. The trend-meisters of the late 70's and early 80's were WRONG.

Like fantasies of Dow 50,000 or even 100,000 that many books propagate during a euphoric boom, a pessimistic trend has a tendency also be assessed and extrapolated. If everyone is bearish and pessimistic, it's often a good idea to be a contrarian and do the opposite. In 1982 the Dow was below 1000; interest rates and oil and gold and inflation were skyrocketing. The construction industry came to a temporary halt. My mom had to go on welfare at the time to raise us three kids. I may have been only 11 years old at the time, but the pessimism of the "adults" as well as seeing many companies go out of business and many of the "adults" lose their jobs, including my parents, really hit home. I'm glad we kids were always fed, even if at times it was macaroni and cheese and wieners.

No one likes a pessimist or doomsayer. Ever since I was incarnated in the present life, it was destined I would be a prophet, and not one that says "peace" when there is no peace, nor “prosperity” when economic collapse is around the corner. Instead I give you hard-core truth as best as I can, logic, reason, common sense, lessons learned, and divine insight. Remember that true prophets and angels appear just before a crisis, and are obliged to give public warning about the said crisis approaching.

This is why I am presenting Peak Oil to you at this juncture: based on the scientific conclusion and evidence, Peak Oil either,

A) has arrived and we are now at a global plateau in production, or

B) is damn close, and will peak within the next few years.

Once peak is reached, global production can be expected (conservatively) to go into terminal decline, by 2 - 3% per year, while demand continues to rise, resulting in spiraling oil and gas prices, with dire consequences for the economy and civilization. There will be oil competition resulting in military conflicts. It is said all wars are based to one degree or another on natural resources. It could be land, food supply, or in the modern era, available reserves of oil. It is black gold. The days of easy discovery made in the back yard, as in the Beverly Hillbillies TV program, making the family multimillionaires, are long gone ... Ha, ha.

Those new to the issue of Peak Oil are surprised to learn that while there are TECHNICALLY viable alternatives to oil, there are NO macro and economically viable alternatives to the INEVITABLE and PERMANANT shortfall in global oil and production supplies. They are also shocked to learn that all the hype of "alternative fuels" such as biodiesel and the "hydrogen economy," windmill or solar energy etc., are just illusions bought into by the mainstream press, politicians and sheeple. It is the utopian fantasy perpetuated by the "don't worry, be happy" culture we belong to.

I do not want you to be an uninformed member of the sheeple believing in the spin, hype, and false promises of alternative solutions, blind faith and lack of concern by classical economists – the market is a miracle and will solve everything, so says Adam Smith – and EMOTIONAL hope for the extrapolation of technological advances and/or science of the past few generations into the foreseeable, long-term future. "We transitioned from horses to cars just fine, so will we evolve into new and exciting oil alternatives!" "They" – the scientists, Federal Reserve Chairman, stock markets and analysts are not worried; "they" will solve all our problems! Just adjust interest rates a little bit, increase liquidity, and voilà, problem solved!

I'm telling you, after rationally and logically studying the scope of the Peak Oil crisis at length, and logically studying everything from nuclear energy, coal, tar sands, oil shale ANWAR, Caspian Sea deposits, new drilling alternatives, hydrogen, ethanol and biodiesel fuel, solar panels, wind turbines, etc., etc., etc., that there are NO alternatives to cheap oil, or oil at ANY price for that matter. All the much hyped "alternatives" can do, even when the price of oil rises to $400 a barrel, is merely make at most a tiny dent in replacement of oil, of which we consume a global 83.5 MILLION barrels per day, just to meet the daily functions of modern life in the industrialized nations, and the U.S. uses ¼ of the world's total. Take the word of someone who has studied the facts: there is nothing even close to supplying the energy needs after global production begins its INEVITABLE decline, PERIOD.

The immediate reaction of the typical person is denial, when hearing the facts. "Oh, technology will solve the problem" or, "the market will take care of it; when oil reaches a certain price level, 'they' will find it economical to mass implement alternatives."

Again, this is what most people want to believe. They don't want cold, hard scientific facts and economic reality; they want promises and hype, and desperately do not want to believe we are facing the collapse of society and civilization itself. We don't want to hear bad news. We as a culture are addicted to "happiness." The truth is too hard for most people to emotionally accept.

My handle on the Internet used to be "truthfinder." For the record, I have found glimpses of absolute personal truth, much of which is also macro-truth, designed to be shared publicly. Some people are "truth seekers," but I go one step further ... I need to FIND truth. I always say, "Beware of anyone who claims to know absolute truth," and I still say that even though yours truly is an incarnate angel; I cannot possibly know ABSOLUTE truth about the afterlife, the truth about God in his/her entirety, all about the future, etc. It should be noted that sincerity and "truth-telling" are different than knowing what is true. I love the truth, and of course have always told the truth to readers; you will never find me in a lie, or contradicting myself to any significant degree. This is because as a teen I was beaten when I lied. I learned through this method of discipline never to exaggerate and always to tell the truth, even if it hurts. I consider fiction and fantasy to be in a sense LIES, and you will never find me writing fiction.

Thanks to the Internet there are many devoted to the truth, although not mainstream, and they can be considered "contrarians." They read between the lines, check facts and figures and even, as in the case of Peak Oil, base their conclusions on hard data and scientific consensus, instead of buying into the delusion perpetuated by classical economists and politicians. Many are devoted to finding the truth, and many I respect and will recommend from time to time.

The Internet is also full of much nonsense, opinions, and in many cases lies. While I'm not into "conspiracy theories," the Internet is also full of them, and in the realm of Peak Oil, there is no shortage of conspiracy theorists. I find their arguments and ideas interesting, but not to be taken too seriously, in general.

That is why it takes discernment and a grain of salt, to sift through the data and conclusions of experts in the field and attempt to "sum it all up" into one basic package of immutable and logical morsels of written truth. Writing is a medium of communication that, while not perfect at, I prefer to communicate in; in person I do not make a good verbal communicator, as I become tongue-tied and shy. Like Paul and Moses, I am slow of speech.

The most effective means of communication is telepathic, which I had to an astonishing degree, especially in the year 2000. In the spirit realm there is no hiding, lying, or miscommunication; it is direct, obvious and clear, fast and efficient. It is true that many refuse to go into the Light after death and remain in the outer darkness for long periods, because they are afraid to show themselves in full, naked exposure; they KNOW that their pathological, lying nature will be seen, and they get ashamed. They may wind up in a "purgatory" region among other pathological liars, all lying to each other .... ha, ha.

We learned and realized during the Y2K scare that we cannot trust the mainstream media and politicians (intended to sooth the masses with the cult of celebrity, FEAR, entertainment, diversions and manufactured crises, such as Social Security). The mantra during Y2K of "prepare for a weekend storm" was designed purely to placate the masses, get them to keep their money in the bank, and avoid panic in general.

Peak Oil and the conclusions it reaches are too extreme for 98% of the population to emotionally accept, and this will likely remain so until oil is permanently logged in the $200 to $400 price range – in other words, until they are paying $7 to $20 a gallon for their soon-to-be worthless SUVs, the U.S. dollar (currently petrodollars) collapses, the stock market utterly collapses, with extremely high unemployment and interest rates and inflation, and precipitous decline in global shipping and trade and rise in per capita food prices. Until those days arrive, they will "fiddle while Rome burns" or put their hands over their heads and say, "I can't hear you!" The band will be playing while the Titanic is sinking. (Remember, there is only a limited quantity of lifeboats!)

Or in the case of A.D. 68 to A.D. 70 Jerusalem, ignore the prophet's warnings and stay inside the wall of the city while it is besieged, the population starved to death or killed.

Until then, people will remain in denial. You, on the other hand, have FOREKNOWLEDGE, via the alternative media on the Internet, in the hard-to-accept conclusion that modern CIVILIZATION itself will imminently come to a permanent end. Never before in history have so many had access to so much knowledge as we now have on the Internet. The writing is on the wall. We are in the calm before the storm. As a truth-FINDER, I'm telling you that Peak Oil is real, and that you must do something to prepare, either spiritually, psychologically, or materially. If you are content to die swiftly in the coming collapse, then all power to you. It is not my goal to scare you into suicidal thoughts. As angels often have to say, “Do not be afraid!”

Because this conclusion is seemingly so extreme, one will initially engage in uninformed wishful thinking. "Well, once prices are high enough, oil shale and biodiesel will take over. We might go through a slump, but we will transition just fine." This is the mindset of a good percentage of the people in society. The situation is further exacerbated by detractors of the reality of Peak Oil, who give a false, "everything is fine" mantra. When you actually study Peak Oil you will come to grips with the fact that there is NO SOLUTION. Now, Of COURSE they will drill more and attempt greater investment in alternatives such as biodiesel when oil prices rise sufficiently.

But most people are under the naive delusion that it will somehow replace, EN MASSE, cheap oil. This is impossible. All of the touted alternatives hyped by politicians and media and certain scientists can logistically only provide a tiny fraction of what crude oil produces. Besides, where would we get the investment capital to invest in, research and implement on a mass scale all these emotionally appealing yet logistically and economically unviable "alternatives" to oil when the economy collapses with crude at $200 to $400 a barrel?

We are facing an imminent collapse of the American and global economy due to Peak Oil, and unlike the 70's oil shocks, this will be merely the onset of a new PERMANANT condition.

As a speculative but not divinely exact scenario, if Peak Oil occurs in the coming few years, or is now upon us as I write this in early 2010, expect Great Depression-like unemployment and bankruptcies and debt default with early 80's-like inflation and interest rates from (approximately) 2012 to 2020. This is a best-case scenario WITH ideal market incentives to implement all known technologies, alternatives, new exploration, and full extraction of existing world oil fields, including opening up capped oil wells, full, coordinated and worldwide conservation efforts, and global reduction in demand through all means, including a rise in interest rates to reduce demand.

Because of market reactions, expect panic in the oil markets relatively soon after peak becomes obvious, with an unprecedented rise in oil prices, as nations, now shocked into the reality of Peak Oil (as most will not take it seriously until it's too late) hoard their dwindling supplies from the market, and futures traders speculate in panic at the now obvious situation. Peak Oil gurus will be interviewed, and anyone who has prepared for the coming inevitable collapse will begin making the headlines. You will hear of "those fear-mongers" trying to create a self-fulfilling prophecy, and a formal ridicule of survivalists, just as happened during the Y2K scare. It's going to happen again, my friends! Shoot the messenger! (I'm used to it!)

Conservatives will blame liberals; liberals will blame conservatives. People will be blaming "insurgents and terrorists" in Arab countries, and "rag heads" will be hated. Muslim opinion will reach a new low in America and hate will reach a new high in the coming years. False politicians, even those who know the mathematical truth behind Peak Oil, will say, "don't panic, the good old days of $1 gasoline are around the corner." Again.

But there's no way the assurances of the classical economists, fantasy-mongers of the Old Order, and blind and false politicians will bring the price of oil down. Also no amount of prayer will re-fill the oil fields. The blame game will be played with many hostile words and accusations. The right-wing hate-mongers will idiotically call for nuclear missiles aimed at Makkah unless the price of oil comes down. Leftist anarchists and their supporters or sympathizers will blame "big oil companies" and fascist right-wing neo-cons and Christians.

It is wise to expect massive global military geopolitical interventions to secure oil fields. Nations will fall and be propped up. The United States of America, already strategically engaged in the Middle East, and knowing its days as a global power are numbered (after all, the great "Satan" knows his time is short, haha) will likely seize oil fields (in the name of freedom from tyranny, Middle East "freedom" and the war on terrorism, for instance) in a futile attempt to keep the American way of life afloat. There will be, even at this time, denial that the reality of Peak Oil is upon us as a new, permanent condition. At present the truth of Peak Oil is at the first stage all truth goes through, "ridicule." Then comes "violently attacked," and eventually it will become "self-evident." By that time the economy will have financially collapsed, despair will have set in, rural properties will have spiraled in relative value, and urban and suburban properties will have collapsed in demand and value.

They are talking about bringing back the draft, as I write this, even though President Bush promised "no draft, period" during the elections. Expect it, and they will give politically correct reasons to implement the next and final draft of the American military/industrial/global empire. The powers that be will attempt to hold on to whatever financial power they have remaining. In the coming years the lifestyle enjoyed by 90% of the middle and lower middle class in America will be available only to the top, upper, super-rich 1%. What we consider "needs" and rights in this presently affluent society will become luxuries afforded only by those that prepared, or diversified and held on to some of their wealth. Remember that in the West and the good old U.S. of A., especially since World War II, we have ridden the greatest level of affluence this world has ever seen. It was, in the background, slaked, fueled and manufactured by the closest thing this world has ever seen to "free energy." We used the stored carbon-based deposits of ancient life from 300 million years ago, all in the course of a handful of generations. Simultaneously we invented and distributed electric power, which by the early 20th century, reached most homes. New forms of communication emerged, including telephone, television, and now computers on a mass scale, all interconnected by the Internet, which only really took off starting in 1995. It is my optimistic view that remnants of the Internet will survive Peak Oil, at least for a while, in some third world nations.

As civilization, in its twilight, suffers from the global oil peak and shortages, global trade will collapse, as the ships run out of fuel as supplies collapse and become too expensive, exporters such as Japan and China stop manufacturing for lack of oil-based plastics and fuels for manufacturing processes, and fuel stops for the diesel trucks coming to and from Wal-Mart (which as I write is an economic powerhouse, perceived as invincible), and will soon go bankrupt due to lack of purchasing power from the masses when unemployment, massive mortgage and consumer debt-bubble default will become a reality. Depending on when exactly peak is reached, and how financial markets react, and the massive debt pyramid implodes, expect unemployment to reach at least 25% to 50% in the latter stages of collapse.

Most airlines, due to lack of jet fuel and radically increased ticket prices, unable to fly, will go soon go bankrupt. Expect only limited flights for the affluent – when fuel is available. Most flights and planes will be grounded, long term. Moreover, lack of demand from those unable to drive to the airport due to lack of fuel and severe curtailing of tourist and layman travel due to a generally collapsing economy permanently puts an end to the tourism industry. As cities, Las Vegas and Orlando will collapse in the early stages. Hotels and car rental agencies will go bankrupt EN MASSE, nationwide.

Because of severe shortages and outrageous gasoline prices and long lines, forcing possible government rationing, SUVs and hybrid vehicles alike will be unable to make the commute to work from the suburbs, the child of post-WWII affluence and residence of middle-class America, and their inevitable decline in value (even though in a record price bubble just a few year ago depreciates to near zero. Suburban homes will catastrophically decline in value, as their owners abandon them, and the banks foreclose as personal bankruptcies skyrocket to levels not seen since the 1930's Depression. There will be a cascading debt collapse in the U.S., reducing the foreign-owned consumer debt to default, which the last remnants of the central banks will attempt to "pay off" with fiat money, reducing most of the banking system and US dollar to rubble.

As the trucks full of food run out of fuel and stop pulling into Albertson’s and Safeway and Winn-Dixie nationwide, some of which used to travel hundreds of miles with produce from Latin America or wine from France, distribution centers and warehouses close, since no one is able to get gasoline to go to work, even in car pools. Public transportation will reach overload levels as people are forced to leave their cars at home.

Expect hoarding from initial several days worth of existing stocks of food from all the supermarkets, sky-rocketing prices when available, and eventually rationing in the cities as governments, with the aid of the military, ration food to the now hungry and desperate masses. Many, now trapped in the suburbs, may make a bike trek or walk into the inner city soup lines to eat and feed their family. The stock market will not be open in this situation, since trading will come to a halt when the banking system freezes, possibly under emergency executive order, and stock brokers are unable to make it to work as the New York, Chicago, London and Tokyo markets close down. There may or may not be bank runs initially, but the collapse of the U.S. PETRODOLLAR to near-worthless levels may discourage any runs on cash. But there will be a medium of exchange, until the system breaks down totally.

Once plentiful croplands and the agribusinesses that run them, within a couple of seasons, depending on how sudden and severely Peak Oil hits, will run out of oil-based fertilizer and pesticides, and they cannot obtain fuel to run the combines and tractors. The railroads, which supply the bulk of oil-based chemicals to refineries and factories run out of diesel fuel and will go bankrupt. (If the train operators are even able to get work in their SUVs.) The grains normally hauled to processing plants will halt in their tracks. If grains are available, by some miracle, they will not be able to be transferred and processed to food manufacturing plants, which will run out of packaging supplies as the division of labor shuts down, and people are unable to drive to work. Eventually plants nationwide will no longer be able to function, assuming the still-functioning plants have a functioning banking system to pay their now unreliable workers.

Livestock will live, aging, in the pastures, peacefully grazing or in stockades eating the last remnants of oats and barley and straw. There will be no diesel-powered trucks to pick them up and bring them to be slaughtered and processed by slaughterhouse workers unable to find fuel to make it to work. If they hitch a ride to work, within a few weeks they will realize they cannot cash their checks or deposit them at the ATMs, which have "out of order" messages displayed on the screen.

Eggs will continue to be hatched in farms, but no trucks will show up to haul them to the market. Cows will still give milk, but the distribution system will shut down.

Most fast food restaurants will go bankrupt within a short time as hamburger patties, buns and fries, once reliably shipped for hundreds of miles with cheap diesel fuel, becomes spotty or unavailable as thousands and thousands of trucks nationwide, stranded on highways and miles from distribution centers, become newly unavailable. The drivers of the trucks, frustrated by the lack of fuel at gas stations, or the inability of their credit cards to work at truck stops due to a frozen banking system and means of payment, begin abandoning their trucks and hitchhiking home to take care of their family. But a few loners will sleep in the back of their trucks, listening to chaotic and panicky chatter on the CB radio; they will notice many deserted cars riddling the once-busy interstate highway, with the occasional car full of hitchhikers whizzing by, interspersed with a few Highway Patrol officers speeding by, sirens blaring.

In addition, the inability of low-wage workers to arrive to work by car or now increasingly by rationed and overcrowded public transportation, will shut down restaurants, at least those that have not yet closed down by sharply decreased demand from a retrenching public for such luxuries as "fast food." Many will ride out this crisis, eating old canned foods from the pantry, and cooking up food from the freezer. They will be on the telephone calling loved ones, watching in horror at the unfolding global and national crisis on CNN, Fox News or CBC or the BBC, by frazzled reporters stuck at work for days at a time, in New York City or Atlanta. Many stations will, one by one, be going off the air, with reruns, some with a marquee scroll of the Emergency Broadcast System broadcasting continuously.

The electrical power grid is the hallmark of modern industrial civilization. Without it, it all ends, and nothing can soon exist or function without it. The good news is that electricity is either supplied by coal, Hydro, natural gas or nuclear power, with a tiny fraction by solar or wind. But it depends on an oil-supported infrastructure, complex division of labor and banking system … and workers willing and able to drive to work, expecting to get paid, and assuming they have to fuel to make it to work. It takes oil to process, mine and ship coal.

As the collapse of Peak Oil advances, after the initial shocks and initial economic collapse and dislocations, there will be regional blackouts and brownouts with attempts to reroute available power to the major metropolitan population centers, filled with hungry and now unemployed people and families standing in food and water lines. If they can withstand the rioting and civil disturbances unable to be quelled by the overstretched military, which has by now seized oil supplies and distribution choke-neck holds internationally, nationally and locally, under a state of FEMA-induced emergency; the military will be given as much access and power necessary to commandeer any stockpiles to keep the Hummers running and transport planes operational. Martial Law, along with full arrest powers, distribution of water to urban centers will be under full implementation, state by state and city by city, but because the military and volunteers and relief workers are limited in resources, only a handful of cities will be attended to; this will only be temporary, and not a long-term solution. No national police state or concentration camps will be politically or economically viable; under the stress of a nationwide state of emergency and halted oil supplies, this "solution" will last months, at best.

Workers, unable to make it to work to maintain and/or repair the power grid due to lack of fuel for their cars, most coming from the suburbs, or to get paid due to a frozen banking system, will, after a few weeks, in hunger, stay home to protect their children and loved ones from the ensuing civil chaos. Many will die protecting their homes, and many will kill protecting their homes. The overwhelmed police departments will not be able to respond to the onslaught of 911 calls. Hospitals will ration the influx of patients, if the ambulances can obtain fuel.

The overstretched and now long-term unpaid police and military will be attempting to maintain order, and are the last in the food chain in individuals to maintain order ... a new and frightening world situation. Many will give up and protect their families, realizing that it is too overwhelming a situation even for the most die-hard, dedicated, selfless public servant.

As they are no longer paid due to a collapsed financial system, spotty and unreliable food for themselves, and adequate fuel for their cars, they will go home to protect their families and be with them in this time of crisis. The power grid, some of it on automation, will begin systematically breaking down, until, nationwide, in most industrialized nations, including in once powerful and affluent America, it will once and for all go down. Within minutes, there will be no phone lines, Internet, 911, ambulances, or running water, no heat, no air conditioning, no refrigeration. Once it goes down, for days, or weeks, it will stay down, never to return.

Then the die-off begins.

If it is in the middle of winter the heat will promptly shut down, and within hours countless people will be stranded in these dark cities huddled with fear with loved ones for what little warmth remains. Some will, after days of living and sleeping in scarves and parkas, die of hypothermia; some will foolishly create small campfires out of books, encyclopedias, Bibles, Qurans, and wood torn from their walls. Some families will die horribly from smoke inhalation and houses burned to the ground, with no oil-powered fire trucks to arrive and extinguish the blaze.

Within a few days, dehydration, as the water supply is cut off, begins to set in, as people drink from their toilet water tanks and bowls. Hunger, now universal, begins to take over, as the days of well-stocked supermarkets ends. Within a few weeks, very hungry and thirsty survivors, by the millions, will roam the streets, in a daze, desperately scrounging for old scraps of food or uncontaminated water or eating dirty road ice and snow. They will begin doing the ultimate survivalist behavior of cannibalism – an unimaginable undertaking by a society only recently well-fed and obese, but a welcome relief to the gnawing hunger pangs, with tempting availability of millions of soon-to-be-rotting human corpses. Disease further thins the remaining population, who, though logistically trapped in the cities and suburbs, gather a few belongings and dust off the old mountain bike hanging up in the garage, bike or walk to close-by rural farms, depending on the location of the country, and seek out self-sufficient farmers, the survivalists who made public their stores of food, orange groves like in Florida or California, to find a little something to eat or steal before they die. Those who have a tank-full of gas or who gather in desperate and marauding gangs armed to the teeth will roam the countryside, until they themselves run out of all fuel. In a relatively brief time, most desert cities such as Las Vegas or Phoenix will become a barren wasteland of dehydrated corpses.

In a relatively short time, a good percentage, perhaps a significant majority, of the American and/or Western world's population will have died in a season, or at least a year or so. As the spring thaw begins weeks or months later in northern regions, including places like Winnipeg, Manitoba, or Grand Forks, North Dakota, decomposing by the millions, corpses giving off plague-like diseases will kill many more of the survivors. There will be no oil-powered bulldozers to push the corpses by the millions into mass graves worldwide.

By now, this eerie landscape, now silent of planes overhead, the roar of rush-hour traffic, the once hectic and noisy orders of burgers at fast food restaurants, and the noise of once buzzing stock markets in downtown Manhattan or London or Tokyo, has, in a relatively brief period of time, become a relic of a time survivors of the distant future will look upon with resentment and disgust as a disgraceful era. They will sift through the remnants of dusty libraries, built and stocked with abundant knowledge and science of the brief but now bygone industrial and technological age – assuming the books were not used as campfire fuel to keep warm – looking for methods on how to grow food locally and organically, with whatever livestock is remaining in scattered farms. Survivors of the Great Collapse and die-off will one by one gather into small groups, then eventually into tribes of 50 to 200 people. In the early years the life expectancy will be very low, with malnutrition and disease rampant, but they will adapt to these new and unavoidable conditions. There will be no remaining banking system, national government, constitution, national military, stock market, retirement or pension plans, television, radio, electricity or running water.

They will gather in communal tribal groups, intent on basic survival, living at levels we would presently consider as indigent as many primitive Third World nations once were, with no toothbrushes, razors to shave with, toilet paper, running water, electricity or phone system. They will at first use telephone books and Bibles for toilet paper, until they run out. Rudimentary health care will be learned by a few from the aging libraries, and for medicines some will grow herbs. They will use whatever tools and relics of the Industrial Age they can find as they scrounge mechanic's shops and abandoned garages of suburban homes, some of which contain a few aging skeletons, which they will nonchalantly bypass and emotionally block out. These are the true survivors of the Great Collapse. It is estimated that without fossil fuel consumption, the earth can support only one to two billion people.

This generation will have just survived something without precedent in recorded human history. In their groups as the years move on and a local sense of community develops and a meager sense of season-to-season stability has been reached, there shall develop a respect for nature, with a true spirituality. Hardened by witnessing great death, collapse and transformation of civilization, the end of the age of oil and mass fossil fuel consumption, the survivors will be among the wisest and most spiritually advanced people the world has ever seen. They will work in co-operative, sharing and collectively self-sufficient communities. They will create music and learn to play "old" instruments left over from the Industrial Age: trumpets, violins, guitars, and even a grand piano, collecting dust like an artifact in a nearby suburban home. They will learn from old books. The great and glorious cities and skyscrapers will stand like sentinels, dark, lifeless, quiet and forever uninhabited.

Language will evolve and be maintained and preserved by writings of the prior age. Nation-states and mass warfare will become a thing of the past as trade becomes localized; many who died in the Great Collapse but died with negative karma, or those who wish to complete their incarnations to attain spiritual enlightenment will do so in succeeding generations. But logistically, because the world was so rapidly depopulated, only a few will be allowed to incarnate. (Those who wish to incarnate will do so in surviving, indigent countries now deemed "savage," backward, unadvanced and near survival level, countries close to local village life and local food production, many of whose per capita income is less than $2 a day. Presently 1/3 of the world's population as I write this may survive quite well.)

Most of the population of this planet earth who have never been on the Internet, or do not have electricity, never dreamed of owning a car, and in many cases even a bicycle, will tend to their rice and potato crops, or chickens, or mule-drawn plow, tilling the soil, or in an old wooden boat, for a daily catch of fish to market for the local community and village. Many in this category will continue working, unfazed, in their daily labors, never reached by the news of what happened to a significant portion of the population of the world, the Western World, and America, the great global power of the 20th and early 21st century. This farmer or fisherman may have, in days gone by, wanted to immigrate to this legendary country, in search of a visa to work in the land of opportunity. But the planes have stopped flying, the local American Embassy in town has been abandoned, and the Hollywood movies have stopped coming to his local theater, where he used to spend 50 cents to watch a pirated copy of Star Wars, or Raiders of the Lost Ark.

Through messengers and future travelers, tribes will peacefully come into contact with each other, and spread legend, horror stories by word of mouth, of a great and gloriously affluent and technically advanced civilization; many will talk of its greed and short-sightedness and waste, but be awestruck by its achievements. They will build on technologies already existing, build a spiritual life led by swamis, gurus, shamans, and masters and cultivate collective child-rearing and advanced spiritual knowledge. Bibles will still exist, as will copies of the Quran. There will be no more paper to write on, and writing materials, like a lowly pencil or pen, which requires a highly complex division of labor, will quickly be used up, as will all blank sheets of paper available in the office copy machines and libraries of abandoned cities.

This is my scenario and “hope” for the long-term future, after the Great Collapse, based on the Starburst 2020 vision given to me, where I was transported to the year 2092, and the coming collapse of modern civilization itself, which as you can see with Peak Oil, is imminent. Sounds like science fiction doesn't it? I'm telling you that while the exact details of this hypothetical scenario are unlikely, word for exact word, it is exactly what we face – in a few years down the road, even imminently. In fact, this is probably the EASIEST “prediction” I’ve ever had to make as a prophet … it is not a question of “if,” but “when.”

The eventual shut down of ALL power grids, world-wide. This will and must happen.

The reaction of most of you, as in the Y2K era, is denial, wishful thinking, inaction ("well, sounds convincing, but I'll wait and see") or “shoot the messenger.” It is my hope that most of you are beyond "shooting the messenger." You all know that the test of a prophet is "you will know them by their fruits." Be suspect of people who have ulterior motives, such as profit alone. This was true during the era of Y2K. Some sold many books, or tried to tie it into Biblical prophecy or hopes of "a rapture." Peak Oil has nothing to do with Biblical prophecy or a rapture. And while some will sell possibly millions of books when Peak Oil hits the mainstream, it has never been my motive to sell books. In fact because of the far-out nature of my book, I have not actively sought out an agent to publish in a mainstream publisher. It would be a pleasant surprise if I ever sold enough books to recoup the time DONATED to writing the website and book (at $10 an hour times 10,000 hours, I should "earn" $100,000). The money would be put to charitable use only. And what if I DID use it for personal use, hypothetically? Would it be wrong for a prophet to use the proceeds to SURVIVE? Indeed, I am prophesying that only a very small number will ever read my book, website, and know that this "Daniel" – who was immortalized and now read around the globe in the Christian "Holy Bible" and studied to death by millions of prophecy scholars – has ever returned as an incarnate angel. If you do survive the coming collapse, please do all you can to preserve my book for a future generation. The Internet will not survive the Collapse, except in Third-World countries, and portions of Europe, optimistically.

As you know and I've said before, being a true prophet is not personally profitable, which is why I still live well below the poverty line. I still require charitable donations even to keep up the website. Again, some of those who first come to read my message and book will be tempted to SHOOT THE MESSENGER instead of psychologically accepting the visions and/or common sense and logical conclusions and views by respected geologists and scientists. I'm not an acclaimed geologist and I do not have a Ph.D. I had a normal and happy childhood, and as a product of the Industrial Age and all its free time and affluence, in a sense would like nothing more than for the party to continue. But again, NO amount of prayer by anyone will refill the oil fields.

Out of several hundred subscribers as I write this in 2005, a few are already living in a near self-sufficient rural community, are long-time survivalists, and a small number became survivalists as a result of the Y2K scare. However, most in the latter category gave up preparing and/or storing food and went in different directions. I lost contact with some of them, and they no longer care about preparing.

Storing food and water and other supplies, as well as buying a hybrid vehicle or econobox (politically correct, but expensive and you have to consider if the cost is actually worth the money you will save, even if gas reaches $7 to $10 in the mid term), or riding a bike from now on, will give you an initial "cushion" that will support you without fear during the initial "shocks," which I speculate will be like 1973/1974 at first: Lines at gas stations, hoarding at supermarkets, and intermittent power outages. Unlike the Y2K scare, we do not have a universally declared date of "zero point." Peak Oil is not an exact science, as far as timing goes, but the evidence is overwhelming that it is "soon."

In the later stages, once people realize the price of oil will never go down again, or Peak Oil becomes mainstream, which admittedly won't happen until it's too late for the majority to actually do anything about it, expect shortages of solar panels, batteries etc. Prime real estate in depressed rural areas will be in demand. People will want to join survivalist communities. The suburban real estate bubble is going to collapse even without Peak Oil. In a sense this is a rerun of Y2K, and the computer scare was just a warm-up, as were the 70's oil shocks and doom-and-gloom pessimism. This time we are heading towards the downslope of the cliff. This is where the actual rubber meets the road. The writing is on the wall. The wolf is at the door.

Remember, this will be a new PERMANANT condition, and not hysteria that comes about when oil prices reach new highs at the pump. Indeed, it is entirely possible that oil prices could DECLINE again, to more acceptable levels; should this occur, don't be disillusioned that Peak Oil is not real; you can ignore the evidence, and come to the conclusion that the recent oil price run-up of 2004 and 2005 and 2006 ($57 a barrel as of April, a peak, but went down again, but recently spiked to $75 after hurricane Katrina, then finally $145 then back down to $90 a barrel) was temporary, and become complacent. Many in the Peak Oil community, who have been following this carefully and with great anticipation, are convinced that this is indeed the peak as I write this, and are following the daily market price of oil, convinced that every uptick in price is more "evidence" of more to come. As a prophet I've learned not to follow the market on a daily, short-term basis. I'm not a futures trader, and will not give any financial advice necessarily on either short-term oil or the stock market, which I view as having reached "Peak Stock" as of 2000, as I long since predicted; stocks will NEVER again regain their glory, despite the mainstream spin and "talk-up" of the spinsters, money magazines and stockbrokers and central banks who want you to keep your money in; it’s all coming to an end. They know what will happen if a significant percentage of the sheeple take Peak Oil seriously, or gold seriously, or any commodity of "real value," since U.S. dollars (since approximately 1973, "petrodollars") and fiat money are, and will be, utterly worthless in the long run.

You may wonder what I am doing to prepare. Well, I don't earn enough money to move from Chico, California at present, but I was considering moving in advance to India, where I can kill two birds with one stone ... meet up with masters and gurus to help complete my ascension and reawaken my once fully awakened kundalini while simultaneously living in a society that, while overpopulated and at risk for disease transmission, is not nearly as oil-dependent as America. Mind you, I am not afraid in any way.

Understandably some of you, while not fearing death, will be bummed out as to the NATURE of your death. No one wants to be killed or tortured to death at the hands of another, and neither do I. (It is unlikely I will be martyred in the present life; my death is likely to be due to "natural causes" in the Collapse, or a cardiac arrest or any health problem that may develop in the physical body. Even an incarnate angel can catch a disease and get sick!)

Most likely, due to societal ties created by my website and book, and desire to help educate and warn existing and new readers, I will remain in the U.S.A. Unlike Y2K, however, where I stored up lots of food, and was somewhat of a survivalist, I won't be preparing much this time around. Depending on exactly when and how the expected collapse manifests, I will remain calm and cover it and electronically remain in touch with the world on the Internet, until the banking system shuts down, and/or I can't afford rent anymore, and get evicted, or the power grid shuts down, ultimately and finally by the year 2020, if the vision given to me by God of Starburst 2020 is correct, in the current time-line. But nothing is written in stone, especially concerning specific dates, and that includes WWIII. Perhaps the missiles will just rot away in their silos across America, never to be launched. In a best-case collapse scenario, America will still "function" for a while, but the economy will have collapsed, its citizens reduced to poverty, rendering it a "Bangladesh with missiles." And an unused weapon is a useless weapon.

I also worry about India and Pakistan in the coming global meltdown, since tensions will rise, chaos will erupt, and many will consider it "time" to settle scores. My best friend, who is Muslim, knows the Quran and Urdu language, but, married to a Muslim husband, has recently been thinking about divorcing him and going her separate path. She is the only on-line reader I've met in person, and she has been following me and conversing for at least three years. Now that I am warning about the Peak Oil crisis, and she is reading the evidence for herself, she has second thoughts; she may stay married to her husband and move out of the country to Pakistan, which is considered a "backward" country compared to the current oil-driven, affluent American standard of living. Either way we are facing the end of an era, of America as a global economic and political power, and this is due to happen even if Peak Oil were total fiction! The house of financial cards is teetering on the brink as I write this. Peak Oil is the NEXT BIG thing to watch and research. Do you own research! Stay out of denial!

During the collapse of modern civilization, I will go hungry like the rest of the population, but unlike 99% of the spoiled and obese American society, I have suffered true want and hunger, desperation and lack of hope in my drifting and homeless situations throughout my adult years of the 20's. I've already discussed my homeless situation, the shelters I've been through, the street-smarts learned, and basic survival-oriented mindset it produced. In fact, before I was awakened as an angel and prophet, still as a growing agnostic/atheist, in 1996, I ended up homeless for the first time in my life. After three or four days without food, and no hope of getting any (I was too proud to seek out a soup kitchen) in desperation, I shoplifted $10 worth of food. Believe me, I don't care how moral and honest you are: true hunger has the tendency to change your morals. You will "justify it" because you see a well-stocked grocery store, and your body's metabolism goes into shock mode. Because I was from out of state, they put a $100 bail on me, and I was stuck for 40 days and 40 nights for a charge which should have been mere "probation."

Again I realize some will think less of me for shoplifting, particularly since I've become a prophet and angel three years later. The act of shoplifting in this case, while breaking mortal law, meant little from a divine perspective. It was instead a learning experience and karmic reaction. The Christian concept of "sin" is just plain wrong.

I am also not going to sugar-coat my past life as an adult, but rather, tell you the truth. But I'm not at liberty to tell you exactly ALL I've done wrong, as most of you will take it the wrong way. I will keep it a secret between God and me, and/or a truly enlightened master who will not judge but instead UNDERSTAND. Even a public figure deems it not to be wise to reveal ALL his deepest deeds, thoughts and secrets. But I DO give you my thoughts NOT because I get an ego kick out of it, but so that you can know, honestly, what goes through the mind of someone who has been enlightened to Christ-consciousness. The good news is that when attaining enlightenment, acquisition of truth and knowledge doesn't end. As long as I'm in the flesh, I will still learn more, which I figure will come in handy in the afterlife. Some of you are damn close to a full-blown kundalini awakening! So I rejoice that I can share what I go through, and help guide you on the path to Light.

I could keep quiet on such acts, but it all happened for a reason. It is true that even the saints were not always perfect, and that includes Jesus of the Bible, Moses, Mohammad, Daniel of old, Ezekiel, etc. Including you! SO do not cast stones to anyone unless you are perfect since birth. However, even Jesus did not condemn or throw stones, and many think he was indeed "perfect" since birth!

You may wonder why I keep saying this. It is because 21^st-century Daniel achieved something which we all can achieve, but you will NOT do so by taking an "Original Sin, ‘filthy rags,’ ‘I'm such a wretched sinner! I'm displeasing God! I'm so unworthy!’” approach to enlightenment and true God-consciousness. Many do indeed approach God in this manner, encouraged by pastors and at a time of personal despair and personal weakness. I'm telling you be STRONG of spirit, disciplined and self-responsible! I'm telling you that true masters do not perpetuate this "sinning-all-the-time" guilt and fear-based concept of God.

This is why I have wisdom to teach, and you should learn from someone who KNOWS what it is like, to

A) go truly hungry,

B) act on that hunger, and

100. experience the KARMA and reaction from the act.
101. I know that a certain percentage of you will indeed wind up unemployed, bankrupt, unprepared and even homeless and on the streets. You can listen to the lessons and survival skills from someone who has been there. Fortunately I was homeless during an affluent society in an affluent age. In the coming collapse, should Peak Oil manifest in crises, the soup kitchens will be overwhelmed, and supplies short. Many will suffer and experience true hunger for the first time in their lives, including my readers who have done nothing to prepare. Like Y2K, only a very small percentage will take action regardless of sincerity, honest motives, evidence and appealing arguments made, and even if made often. It is, in fact, one of my goals, to get a few of you, who may be middle class, to take LONG TERM steps to prepare, NOW, before it's too late.

You may be one of the long-term survivors of the collapse and Starburst 2020 if you can grow your own food and be self-sufficient. I realize not all of you have the means to prepare to this degree, which is why I say the least you can do is accumulate at least a few months’ worth of food and be prepared to lose your employment for an extended period, in a society WITHOUT welfare, Social Security or food stamps. Expect to lose your health insurance. This is why I'm always teaching a good complex carbohydrate diet with minimal sugar and fat, especially saturated fats, less meat and to engage in REGULAR exercise. It doesn't have to be extreme, like I used to do with bodybuilding/powerlifting. A daily brisk, 20-minute power or prayer walk can do wonders!

Take multivitamins and eat in-season, locally grown food, fruits and vegetables. After the collapse we will no longer get energy-intensive and expensive-to-produce TV dinners, canned foods, lettuce from Mexico or grapes from California or fresh oranges from Florida, or energy-wasteful beef and chicken and pork.

Even IF nothing ever happens, and I am dead wrong, this is always good advice, since most Americans or Europeans are only a few paychecks from homelessness. Remember that in the prophecies I'm giving you, you will be joining millions of bankrupt, hungry, car-less urbanites and former suburbanites, and in desperation, combined with 300 million hand guns, the unprepared, desperate and unascendent, although they may seem like OK guys to hang around with as long as they are on a full stomach and watching the Superbowl, will turn to riots, rebellion, looting and pillaging. At least this will be the case in the early stages of civilizational collapse.

As for my "exit strategy" for the imminent end of civilization, here it is: Should it occur when living in my present California location, I will not freeze to death in winter, and can do without air conditioning in summer. When the breakdown in food supplies starts, I lose my income and apartment, the oil stops flowing, trucks stop pulling into Albertson’s, I will not shoplift or rob as I would have in my early 20's, when I was an unascendent atheist, "mad at the world" and unconcerned with divine karma. I wouldn't be divinely "punished" if I did, but I have ascended beyond this. Instead, I will take that as my signal for my final 50-day "fast."

In 2000, before I was baptized, I fasted for 7 days. The first few meals are the hardest. Then the sensation of hunger, while still prominent, is no longer predominant, as the metabolism shuts down and enters "survival mode." In the early days of my final "fast, " in my final incarnation at the End of the Days (age, and civilization) as promised in Daniel 12:13, I will comfort many of the sick and starving people in my region if possible with the promise of the Hereafter to shortly come. Then, when I myself get too weak, I will use whatever strength and wasted muscles are left to climb a local foothill with a few gallons of water, where I will sit cross-legged, praying, quietly, intensely and patiently waiting until my body begins to shut down. As I breath my last few breaths as an incarnate angel and modern prophet, all prophecies having been fulfilled, and the society around me no longer functioning, I will finally leave my body, where I am to be trained and promoted to the celestial identity and function of an Ancient of Days. I will probably meet an influx of millions of departed souls, all coming at once. The function of an Ancient of Days is Celestial Judge and a ruler of sorts. It has not been revealed to me as to what I'll be doing, but I have peace in the revelation of this soul promotion. It is by no means a self-important, ego-driven desire, but instead was a humbling revelation. While existing on earth I am a mere messenger. But something grand and a position as yet too glorious to be revealed awaits me. Therefore it is something to look forward to. I believe that if you have a strong connection with God, have a kundalini awakening, and pray intensely for a few days, you too can be informed of ANYTHING. When I became an angel, all prayers were answered INSTANTLY, and nothing was impossible. It is said in Biblical scriptures that faith can move mountains. I'm telling you that the extremely powerful yet mysterious KUNDALINI gives you the power to COMMAND GOD to do virtually anything! I shall write more about the source of the powers, insight and abilities and divine presence I gained through kundalini, yet it can take a full book in and of itself! Like any subject, you can search and read about kundalini, the chakras, and how to "awake the snake" through right thought, right action, unconditional love, and self-mastery.

This is why I'm telling you not to be overly concerned about your salvation, about hell and death. Universal salvation, my friends, is the basic message of the NDE. Why do you think I keep harping on all of you to learn the true glory of the afterlife by visiting http://near-death.com, written by Kevin Williams? Because I know that the New Testament Bible, while giving "hope" of an afterlife, is too primitive and incomplete for me to take seriously, especially since I had two NDEs and have now read about 400 NDEs. Reading NDEs can make you totally unafraid of death and your destination in the afterlife. I do this because many of you will perish in the coming Collapse. (Yes! First he tells people to unsubscribe, burn his own book, and now is telling readers they will die soon!)

You must rid yourself of your fear of death, as well as the concept that death is wrong, bad, something to be mourned, etc. It's merely a transition, and what follows is something, when experienced, so glorious, that you will wonder why you hung on to life and feared death! If you are not vicious and unascendent, or tied to the earth realm through grotesque addictions and earthly desires, and came across my book or website, chances are you will have nothing to worry about after death. You will fit in quite well to whatever level of heaven matches the love and knowledge and spiritual growth you attained while in your latest incarnation. I do not need a savior. In fact I may make a "visit" to Hell and save some lost souls before I become an Ancient of Days. Many DO need a savior such as Jesus: one who finds himself in the outer darkness, an endless void, or is subject to a temporary hellish realm. This is where Jesus comes in! I am not a "Christian" in the strictest sense of the word, but I've read MANY NDE's where Jesus appears as savior immediately after death. In fact, he even appears to Biblically ignorant children, Jews, Muslims and Buddhists, etc. So if you are Christian and are in doubt about the reality of whether Jesus existed or not – don't worry, he is alive and well, and visits many, many people after death!

***********************

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To most of you this will be the first time you've ever heard of Peak Oil. Even though there are better experts than me, remember where you heard of the idea! Don't say I didn't warn you! God placed me here at the "end of the days" for many reasons, among them to attain to spiritual, angelic ascension and enlightenment, and to warn people of a truly historic end of the age, and civilization. As the old Chinese curse goes, "May you live in interesting times."

You may or may not agree with my conclusions. I'm telling you to keep an open mind and do the research on the topic yourself. Like Y2K, it is full of detailed data and can seem overwhelming at first, but the truth is out there. You too can become a mini-expert on Peak Oil, and by doing so, such as by memorizing familiar data, you can impress the naysayers, those in denial, and convince skeptical family members. Remember the issue of Y2K was a warm-up for many of you; it should have enabled you to develop a thick skin. The Pollyannas are currently in psychological control, and the spinmeisters will despise you. If you expect everyone to love you, you will never be a "preacher" of Peak Oil! Expect and relish persecution, knowing it is from those simply in the DARK.

Start with http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net, and take the time to read the supplied links. This is an excellent site; I've read it a few times, and read many of the sources. It gives good arguments, lots of info and links ... the author may be likened to the Gary North of the Y2K scare. Ha ha. He's a lawyer and has written a book and has appeared on Coast to Coast AM.
Then go to http://www.peakoil.net/

Then read the grandfather of Peak Oil and population die-off sites: http://www.die-off.org

Chapter 18: Fulfillment of Recent Prophecies; September 11 2001 "Trigger" for War on Terrorism (WWIII), 2001 Recession

Daniel’s Public Warnings since 1998 Fulfilled

You may wonder, concerning recent and past worldly affairs,

“Who could have foreseen all this recession and war (Afghanistan, Iraq) months or even years in advance? Who could have foreseen, well in advance, Bush becoming president, the 2001 economic recession and the dramatic political transformation that occurred later?”

Through the power of God, 21st century Daniel has foreseen all of this, and made it all public well in advance, since 1998.

If you were a doubting Thomas when first coming across this book, you had now better sit up and take notice; if your “test” in confirming the validity of a divine prophet is the accurate fulfillment of the future via public proclamations, then you must now concede … and even believe, even if it challenges everything you’ve ever believed, or contradicts your narrow Biblical interpretation of “divine reality."

Long-time readers since early 1998 will have noticed that the author successfully predicted the September/October crash in the stock market we experienced in the fall of 1998 and that we would hit Dow 10,000. I correctly called the correction of September/October 1999 (but off in intensity). That was before the spiritual awakening. Immediately after the awakening as reincarnate Daniel, almost everything based on divine visions has been coming true.

Specifically, these are the July 1999 prophetic dreams concerning the outcome of Y2K, and the March 2000 vision of the half-point interest rate rise and historic stock market crashes which occurred shortly after. The next vision occurred in summer 2000, when out-of body, in the Federal Reserve, and overheard Alan Greenspan's conversations with colleagues about engineering a 2001/2002 recession, or at least their fear that the previous, successive 6 rises in interest rates would do so. This was a future event at time of writing.

The most recent fulfillment of a projection made in March 2000 was a sideways or rising market through the summer, with crashes to occur before or during the elections; with the Dow losing nearly 800 points in the previous week, and crashing 379 points on Thursday, the 12th. That occurred in the fall of 2000.

Next, in March 2001 I publicly proclaimed the market would soon enter a major decline. Two weeks later the markets crashed big time with the Dow down to 10,400, (bottoming around 9,400) and the Nasdaq losing 60% of its value from the peak one year earlier.

The author had further proclaimed crises to occur through much of Bush’s term – publicly and long before he was elected president, particularly concerning the relationship to a future event in relation to the Middle East, especially with Iraq and Islamic extremists.

This ultimately came into fruition after the infamous “trigger” of 9-11, 2001 and continues as of the publication of this book in 2010. The next vision from God concerning a future event came in March 2000 whereupon I based an economic analysis on, which involved a near-term, disastrous market crash and half-point rise in interest rates, which both came to pass within the next couple of months

We are in the Middle East for the long run, and it’s largely related to a phenomenon called Peak Oil—the peak in global production of oil in the coming years. Global Peak Oil is not “myth” or “theory.” Rather, it is economic and physical reality, and no amount of prayer will refill the oil fields.

Essentially, we are “running out” of natural resources in general, especially with the economic industrialization of fast-growing India and China. Materialistic, consumerist modern society is soon to come crashing down, initiating a long – even permanent – economic depression.

I have since Day One on the Internet publicly proclaimed the following since 1998, and was willing to be stoned to death if it did not come to pass:

“We will have to experience a (several-year) period of severe economic tribulation that will fundamentally alter the world’s economic structure from which a new strategic paradigm will emerge: a full, total global war in the next twenty years that will be fought with maximum effort, nuclear weapons may be used, and the America/China/ India/Russian “problem” will be resolved ... but only after a culmination of unforeseeable events climax into World War Three in which either a new global power for the next long cycle is determined, or re-appointed (that is, the USA) ...”

This already has been coming into partial fulfillment. We have been through that economic tribulation, as the 1990’s Internet and tech bubble has long since burst as predicted, with a global recession throughout 2001. The federal budget is now back in the red.

Remember that all of the economic “forecasts” in the full version of this book were written previous to spring of 2001, well before the carnage we have now experienced. The recession began in the spring of 2001. Of course, that is now ancient history.

As this is written in 2010, the future holds even more economic carnage as the global economic debt pyramid comes crashing down, like a new Great Depression. It’s bound to happen eventually and is only a matter of time, and indeed may be imminent.

Indeed, we are facing an end to modern civilization itself in the not-too-distant future, should the vision of Starburst 2020 come to pass.

World War Three – however extreme such a concept sounded at the time (1998-2002, when first publicly proclaiming this), has since begun. The War on Terrorism, as initiated by President Bush as a result of the 9-11 terrorist attacks, is in fact World War Three.

It is not a fantasy I conjured up; it was all based on my 1997 Doomsday Clock vision, already documented. It is now a reality. As Dick Cheney said while vice-president,

“It is a war that will not end in our lifetime.”

It is not exactly what many expected, and it does NOT have to involve nuclear weapons, and it’s NOT necessarily related to Biblical prophecy, such as Revelation, since that book has already been fulfilled by 70 A.D.

The author was derided as a “doomsayer” for publicly discussing the prospect of imminent recession and global war during 1998-2001 when the world was prosperous and at peace, therefore some vindication should be in order.

I posted the following just a few days after 9-11, 2001 publicly and long before the Bush administration’s talk of “weapons of mass destruction” or prospect of invading Iraq:

“The War on Terrorism will be used as the pretext for the eventual assault on the Iraqi nation; Bush is preparing for this. Mark my words: Bush WILL invade Iraq, and complete what his father began.”

More than two years after this “prediction,” U.S. president Bush invaded Iraq, and the rest is history.

Furthermore, on February 17, 2001 – long before 9-11 and talk of weapons of mass destruction by the Bush Administration, Daniel said the following, publicly,

“Following in his father's footsteps, with a replay-cast   of players such as Dick Cheney and Colin Powell,   he has taken the predictable route of avenging and   vindicating his father's shortfalls in completing the Gulf   war started in 1991.”    “Bush Jr. is here to complete it.”  

Then came November 11, 2001. Then came May, 2003 where Bush invaded Iraq once and for all, fulfilling the said prophecy a year and a half previous. However, at the time I also gave “warning” that Baghdad was in danger of nuclear destruction in 2005. This did NOT come to pass, but the reader must understand that that was NOT a “written-in-stone” prediction. Just a possibility which was averted by the premature invasion of Iraq in May of 2003.

Now, publicly this author, on the Internet, DID "pass judgment in the name of the Lord upon Iraq" more than a year in advance of the May 2003 US invasion. This accurately came to pass. NO ONE else at the time was boldly "predicting" such an invasion. This author knew well in advance this would occur, and made it all public. In fact, in an earlier newsletter sent out on the Internet on Jan. 2001, more than 2 years PRIOR to the Iraq invasion, and long before the 9-11 "trigger" and Bush talk of weapons of mass destruction, I publicly told everyone Bush Jr. would invade Iraq once and for all, completing what his father had started in 1991.

The Starburst 2020 vision is also NOT “guaranteed” to occur as it too can be averted. It is only one of many possible future, multidimensional time lines.

Remember this date for the history books: September 11, 2001, a date which will live in infamy. ( wrote this a few days after 9-11, 2001)

By now you have witnessed a historic event which changed the world. On the above date one of the greatest landmarks of international finance, American prestige and symbols of capitalist prosperity, the twin towers of the World Trade Center in New York City, was completely destroyed into a heap of rubble by intentional impact with the hijacking of two airliners. Simultaneously, two other aircraft were hijacked, one impacting and severely damaging the massive Pentagon in Washington D.C., and the other crashing in Pennsylvania, the result of passengers foiling the hijackers' plan of destruction. The initial estimates for the number dead ranged from 10 to 20 thousand. (On that day, I sent a newsletter to subscribers saying the official count would be closer to 3000. For some time (months) the estimate was almost 5000. Events have proven my estimate correct, for the official estimate is now less than 3000.)

For the first time ever, the Federal Aviation Administration halted all national flights for three days, creating a nightmare for travelers. The situation placed in severe jeopardy the airline industry that was already in a weak financial state. The result was a Federal bailout of the industry. The entire tourism industry suffered dramatic setbacks in the weeks following. The attackers achieved a crippling blow to the American economy, already in recession. The WTC housed such powerhouses as Morgan Stanley, China International Trust, Yamatane Securities America and Farmers Union Control Exchange. The stock market was shut down for days, and when it reopened, lost more than 20% in value over the following couple of weeks, globally. The insurance costs were alone estimated be in excess of $20 billion, and the total recovery costs of damage about $100 billion.

The international reaction was most impressive, especially in the U.S., where a tremendous wave of patriotism and resolve swept the country, determined to avenge the perpetrators of this heinous crime. The obvious suspects were, of course, Muslim fundamentalist extremists, led by people like Osama bin Laden.

How did it make you feel when first hearing about this tragedy? Shocked? Angry? Sad? Flabbergasted? Or all of the above? Most were stunned in disbelief for months, and still are. It did not faze the author in the slightest, for I had been repeatedly warning (prophesying) about all these events. And the fulfillment of these events has proven me correct.

Now, after reading this book, you should smile in amusement to those who say, "Who could have known this was coming?" because you are reading the words of someone who did know, and repeatedly warned in public, of all of the events taking place before your very eyes.

I have repeatedly proclaimed the rough times ahead for President Bush. I also publicly proclaimed a danger of assassination 8 to 12 months after (becoming president). Well, luckily he did escape this, and he in fact was in danger at that time, for the terrorists were seeking to take out the White House. He is indeed replaying his father's presidency, as I said, for he was destined to be a crisis president involving a war in the Middle East, during a major recession. Like his father, his approval rating are through the roof, hitting 90% months following 9/11, as was the case for Bush Sr. following the Gulf War.

"Who could have foreseen all this recession and war happening months in advance? Who could have foreseen him becoming president, and the dramatic transformation that occurred later?" Through the power of God, Daniel has foreseen all of this. If you were a doubting Thomas when first coming across this book, you had now better sit up and take notice; if your "test" in confirming the validity of a divine prophet is the accurate fulfillment of the future via public proclamations, well, then listen.

The author has further proclaimed additional crises occurring through much of Bush's term, particularly concerning the relationship to a future, very fearsome event in relation to the Middle East, especially Iraq and Islamic extremists. I have, since Day One, publicly proclaimed the following, and was willing to be stoned to death if it did not come to pass:

"We will have to experience a (several-year) period of severe economic tribulation that will fundamentally alter the world's economic structure from which a new strategic paradigm will emerge: a full, total global war in the next twenty years that will be fought with maximum effort, nuclear weapons will be used, and the America/China/India/Russian "problem" will be resolved ... but only after a culmination of unforeseeable events climax into World War Three in which either a new global power for the next long cycle is determined, or re-appointed (that is, the USA) ..."

This is now coming into fulfillment. We are now going through that economic tribulation, as the bubble has long since burst, with a global recession throughout 2001. The federal budget is now back in the red. While there were signs of recovery by early 2002, you can be sure that more shakedown is coming. Remember that all of the economic "forecasts" in this book were written before spring of 2001, well before the carnage we have now experienced. The recession began spring, 2001.

World War Three – however extreme such a concept has sounded at the time (1998-2002, when first publicly proclaiming this), has begun. The War on Terrorism, as initiated by President Bush as a result of 9/11, is in fact WWIII. It is not a fantasy I conjured up; it is now a reality. It is a long war, and it is not exactly what many expected. It is not the Cold War version of MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction).

Chapter 19: Vision of the infamous Starburst 2020

Do you understand the power a true prophet possesses? A prophet can often see and know the future, but often it is precisely because the prophet speaks of that future event, therefore actually creating the future itself, fulfilling the said prophecy.

(April 12, 2011 update insertion: Previously associated with this vision was a declaration that Daniel would be partially "responsible" for creating the outcome of this vision, or creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. This was not quite as accurate as previously worded. Remember that true prophecy is about issuing warning with intended or UN-intended, conscious or unconscious "hope" of actually altering the future by publicly declaring the said vision/prophecy. This was what the whole Y2K scare/warning was all about before the year 2000!

Nuclear war is avoidable!

The future is malleable and there are actually MANY multiple timelines. This was a highly probable vision when it was given in the year 2002 to this author. It is still a possibility, but the probability of this vision "coming true" may have receded since that time.)

Now, I shall tell you of what "may" happen in the very distant future to the inhabitants of the earth. But will this be written in stone? No, there is a catch. We need light-workers and meditators to focus their attention on averting the nuclear portion of this prophecy. This is a warning prophecy and is not destined to happen. Yet how many will truly take 21st century Daniel's prophetic visions seriously? They certainly did not listen to the prophets of old times.

Now, as for the Starburst 2020 vision I had in the spring of 2002, here it is.

I was spiritually transported into the distant (but yet written in stone) future and witnessed firsthand, in person, what life was like in the year A.D. 2092. Over the course of this night there were two visions shown.

In the first, I found myself on the outskirts of a large but long since abandoned, early 21st century city. I was outside a run-down warehouse. I was fully conscious that this was the distant future, and also aware I would be returning to my 21st century body in only minutes, so I had to find out when and where this was. So I walked into the warehouse. There were people inside, about 25 or 30. Inside was about as large as a small gymnasium, and along the walls were bunk beds, and all these people milling about lived there.

The living conditions were horrible, and the poverty and sparseness of their lifestyle like that of a homeless shelter or jail; this was the “normal” standard of living for the inhabitants of the earth at the time, at least in the U.S. They were speaking a strange dialect of American English, but I could not fully understand what they were saying to me. They knew I was a stranger, just passing through, but I dared not tell them I was someone from the distant past.

The economy had completely collapsed decades earlier. There was no real government. They were not using money, but instead bartered for whatever meager possessions they had. It resembled a Third World economy.

There was very little left of the power grid, and electrical supply was very minimal, about 5% of the capacity we currently have and use. The worldwide division of labor had, many decades earlier, collapsed. The world's population was only about 10 or 15% of what it is now, and all the large cities were utterly abandoned, crumbling, deteriorated and unlivable; a barren wasteland; everyone lived on the outskirts of the cities in little communities like the one I visited.

The skyscrapers were just standing there in the distance, aging and empty. Such was the poverty that simple things like toilet paper, toothbrushes, deodorant, and batteries were luxuries hard to come by. They at least seemed to have sufficient food, but at indigent levels.

There were very, very few if any cars on the street, and indeed the streets were so dilapidated, they were practically unusable. The general infrastructure, such as water and sewers and telecommunications, had all decayed and was generally non-functioning.

The people walked or rode 70-year-old bicycles. Books were extremely rare (they had only about five tattered books in this particular community), as was paper in general. Outside of their compound there were many old tractors and construction equipment, but they were unusable and abandoned decades earlier. Besides, fuel was next to nonexistent.

I approached a middle-aged man and was conversing with him. I was amazed at the conditions and the state of their lives and the world around them, so I asked him,

“My God, sir, what happened here? How did this come to pass?”

He looked at me strangely, as if I should already have known. He paused for a moment, giving me a suspicious squint of the eye. I think he then realized I was in fact from the past, and seemed to get grouchy, and he blurted,

“Don't you know, it was YOU people (our present society), with all your greed and militarism long ago who created this mess … thanks a lot!”

So, taken aback, I asked,

“Well, sir what year is this?”

He seemed annoyed at answering the question, because it was something these people at that time did not want to talk about and it made them bitter to bring up the subject. Then he knew I came from the past. But I was insistent and persistent with my query until he mumbled that the year was “72 years after Starburst” It was their nickname for what happened in 2020. They had adopted a new calendar system and had long since stopped using the Christian “A.D.” dating system.

So I had to ask him what the A.D. date was, and he told me, but I also wondered, “Why did they call it 'Starburst?'” That was what they called the event that ended civilization as we currently live it. It was due to a few nuclear weapons detonated around 2020 over a few key cities. It was not a full-scale exchange.

After that I was transported back to the past.

It will take only a handful of nuclear blasts. For instance, one over New York City, one on Washington D.C., one on San Francisco or Seattle, one on London, one on Tokyo. This would throw the world into a catastrophic depression and long era of chaos. There would effectively be no United States government.

In the early years there would effectively be a martial law situation with attempts to keep things in order. Society won't instantly grind to a halt, but will relentlessly crumble over time, many years.

Many, many will die of various means, such as famine and pestilence. The modern division of labor is what supports the enormous amounts of food we currently have, in order to feed the enormous population of 6.6 billion mouths we currently have. Such a collapse would severely shrink the global population. People will begin flooding out of the cities into country villages. Large cities will become relics and monuments of the industrial age.

On the same night as this vision I was transported to an even further time, perhaps five centuries into the future. I was able to sail over the country from about 100 miles up. Every city was uninhabited and barren. It seemed as though the human population had become extinct. Some of the (now) ancient skyscrapers were leaning on each other, with advanced deterioration. I noticed that the sky was incredibly clear and clean, and the sun was brilliantly intense.

Without parasitic humans to poison and pollute the air and water and land, everything looked vibrant; the grass was green and vibrant. The meadows that at one time were huge croplands, looked beautiful. The water everywhere was pure and clean. But there were no humans around to enjoy it … or spoil it.

Imprint the name of that event in your mind, because if you are living a few decades from now, you "may" hear of the infamous … STARBURST 2020.